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Süper Lig

Referee: Resat Onur Coskunses

Kocaelispor

T T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Samsunspor

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,59 xG 1,74

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 7. · Samsunspor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+6	+7.3	10
2	Besiktas	4	3	0	1	+5	+4.8	9
3	Amedspor	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.4	7
4	Genclerbirligi	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.2	7
5	Fenerbahce	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.9	6
6	Kasimpasa	4	1	3	0	+1	+1.1	6
7	Kocaelispor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.9	6
8	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
9	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.2	4
10	Samsunspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.5	4
11	Trabzonspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.5	4
12	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
13	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
14	Corum	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.9	4
15	Erzurumspor	4	1	1	2	-6	-4.1	4
16	Eyüpspor	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.9	3
17	Goztep	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.0	1
18	Konyaspor	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.5	6
2	Amedspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.0	6
3	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+1	+4.5	4
4	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.5	4
5	Genclerbirligi	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
6	Corum	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
7	Kocaelispor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
8	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.0	3
9	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
10	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
11	Eyüpspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
12	Erzurumspor	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.9	3
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
14	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
15	Samsunspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.0	1
16	Goztep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
17	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
18	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
2	Rizespor	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
3	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
4	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.5	3
5	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
6	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
9	Kocaelispor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
10	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.3	1
11	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.8	1
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.8	1
13	Amedspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
14	Erzurumspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
15	Corum	2	0	1	1	-4	-4.6	1
16	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
17	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0
18	Eyüpspor	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.