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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Arslan

Samsunspor

T T T T U

0–0

Full-time

Kocaelispor

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

39%

28%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,73 xG 0,34

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 7. · Kocaelispor 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	18	13	4	1	+27	+19.6	43
2	Fenerbahce	18	12	6	0	+26	+23.1	42
3	Trabzonspor	19	12	5	2	+15	+1.7	41
4	Goztep	18	10	5	3	+14	+3.4	35
5	Besiktas	18	9	5	4	+9	+17.1	32
6	Buyuksehyr	19	8	5	6	+13	+1.8	29
7	Samsunspor	18	6	8	4	+2	+7.2	26
8	Gaziantep	18	6	6	6	-6	-2.1	24
9	Kocaelispor	18	6	5	7	-3	+0.1	23
10	Alanyaspor	18	4	9	5	+0	-5.1	21
11	Genclerbirligi	18	5	4	9	-3	-8.7	19
12	Rizespor	18	4	6	8	-6	+0.8	18
13	Konyaspor	18	4	6	8	-8	-4.5	18
14	Kasimpasa	19	3	7	9	-11	-10.0	16
15	Antalyaspor	18	4	4	10	-15	-11.1	16
16	Kayserispor	19	2	9	8	-21	-11.4	15
17	Eyüpspor	18	3	5	10	-14	-8.9	14
18	Karagumruk	18	2	3	13	-19	-13.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	7	3	0	+14	+12.1	24
2	Trabzonspor	10	6	4	0	+11	+6.3	22
3	Fenerbahce	8	6	2	0	+12	+15.5	20
4	Goztep	9	5	3	1	+8	+3.0	18
5	Kocaelispor	10	5	3	2	+4	+6.0	18
6	Besiktas	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.4	17
7	Genclerbirligi	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.3	14
8	Buyuksehyr	9	3	4	2	+4	+0.8	13
9	Samsunspor	9	3	4	2	+0	+6.4	13
10	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.1	12
11	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-5	+3.0	11
12	Konyaspor	10	2	4	4	-2	+1.0	10
13	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-4	+5.4	10
14	Eyüpspor	9	2	3	4	-6	-1.3	9
15	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-15	-5.2	6
16	Kasimpasa	9	0	5	4	-6	-1.1	5
17	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.9	5
18	Antalyaspor	8	1	1	6	-13	-3.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	6	4	0	+14	+7.6	22
2	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+13	+7.4	19
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	+4	-4.6	19
4	Goztep	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.4	17
5	Buyuksehyr	10	5	1	4	+9	+1.0	16
6	Besiktas	9	4	3	2	+5	+7.7	15
7	Samsunspor	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.8	13
8	Gaziantep	9	3	4	2	-1	-5.1	13
9	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-2	-7.8	12
10	Kasimpasa	10	3	2	5	-5	-9.0	11
11	Alanyaspor	9	1	6	2	-2	-3.0	9
12	Kayserispor	10	1	6	3	-6	-6.2	9
13	Rizespor	9	1	5	3	-2	-4.6	8
14	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-6	-5.4	8
15	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-5	-11.0	5
16	Kocaelispor	8	1	2	5	-7	-5.9	5
17	Eyüpspor	9	1	2	6	-8	-7.6	5
18	Karagumruk	9	1	1	7	-11	-9.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.