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Süper Lig

Referee: A Şansalan

Kasimpasa

T S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Sivasspor

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 29%

30%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

60%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,75 xG 1,38

52% Possession 48%

22 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

12 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 12. · Sivasspor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	24	5	1	+44	+30.1	77
2	Fenerbahce	29	22	5	2	+47	+37.0	71
3	Samsunspor	30	15	6	9	+9	+6.1	51
4	Eyüpspor	30	14	8	8	+16	+3.9	50
5	Besiktas	29	13	9	7	+12	+17.6	48
6	Buyuksehyr	29	13	6	10	+9	+5.1	45
7	Gaziantep	29	12	6	11	+1	-8.3	42
8	Konyaspor	31	11	7	13	-5	-6.8	40
9	Antalyaspor	30	11	7	12	-19	-13.7	40
10	Trabzonspor	29	10	9	10	+11	-0.8	39
11	Goztep	29	10	9	10	+9	+16.6	39
12	Kasimpasa	30	9	12	9	-4	-0.6	39
13	Kayserispor	29	9	9	11	-11	-0.8	36
14	Bodrumspor	31	9	7	15	-12	-7.0	34
15	Rizespor	29	10	4	15	-14	+3.7	34
16	Sivasspor	30	8	7	15	-10	-15.4	31
17	Alanyaspor	29	8	7	14	-11	-2.1	31
18	Hatayspor	30	4	7	19	-25	-27.6	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	29	2	4	23	-47	-37.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	12	3	0	+23	+22.9	39
2	Fenerbahce	14	12	1	1	+23	+19.1	37
3	Gaziantep	15	10	3	2	+13	+2.9	33
4	Trabzonspor	15	9	4	2	+19	+6.3	31
5	Goztep	14	9	4	1	+19	+17.9	31
6	Eyüpspor	15	9	3	3	+16	+7.0	30
7	Antalyaspor	15	9	3	3	+2	-0.5	30
8	Besiktas	15	9	2	4	+6	+11.6	29
9	Buyuksehyr	15	8	4	3	+14	+7.9	28
10	Samsunspor	15	8	2	5	+6	+10.3	26
11	Konyaspor	15	7	5	3	+5	+2.4	26
12	Sivasspor	16	6	5	5	+5	-4.3	23
13	Kayserispor	15	6	4	5	-1	+2.9	22
14	Alanyaspor	14	6	3	5	+2	+6.4	21
15	Bodrumspor	15	5	4	6	+1	-0.8	19
16	Rizespor	14	5	4	5	-1	+10.4	19
17	Kasimpasa	14	4	6	4	-2	+3.0	18
18	Hatayspor	16	3	5	8	-7	-9.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	14	1	2	11	-21	-13.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	12	2	1	+21	+7.2	38
2	Fenerbahce	15	10	4	1	+24	+17.9	34
3	Samsunspor	15	7	4	4	+3	-4.2	25
4	Kasimpasa	16	5	6	5	-2	-3.6	21
5	Eyüpspor	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.2	20
6	Besiktas	14	4	7	3	+6	+6.0	19
7	Buyuksehyr	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.8	17
8	Rizespor	15	5	0	10	-13	-6.7	15
9	Bodrumspor	16	4	3	9	-13	-6.2	15
10	Konyaspor	16	4	2	10	-10	-9.2	14
11	Kayserispor	14	3	5	6	-10	-3.7	14
12	Alanyaspor	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.5	10
13	Antalyaspor	15	2	4	9	-21	-13.2	10
14	Gaziantep	14	2	3	9	-12	-11.2	9
15	Trabzonspor	14	1	5	8	-8	-7.1	8
16	Goztep	15	1	5	9	-10	-1.3	8
17	Sivasspor	14	2	2	10	-15	-11.1	8
18	Hatayspor	14	1	2	11	-18	-18.1	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-26	-24.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.