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Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Everton
U U T U S
0–2
Full-time
Man City
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
38%
66%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
59%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,91 xG 2,04
33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 13. · Man City 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 +43 +42.6 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 +30 +23.6 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 +21 +14.2 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 +13 -0.7 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 +20 +16.0 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 +17 +18.4 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 +3 +6.3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 +12 +16.8 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 +4 +4.2 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 +2 +5.3 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 +4 -1.1 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 -4 +6.6 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 -4 -4.2 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 -7 -6.2 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 +11 -0.7 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 -14 -12.4 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 -18 -11.5 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 -34 -35.0 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 -45 -36.2 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 -54 -45.9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Man City
Half-time 0–0
M. Keane 🔁
↦ J. Tarkowski
52′
Michael Keane 🟨
55′
Idrissa Gueye 🟨
62′
Beto 🔁
↦ A. Broja
63′
78′
🔁 M. Kovačić
↦ Nico González
78′
🔁 J. Doku
↦ Savinho
C. Alcaraz 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
79′
D. McNeil 🔁
↦ J. Harrison
79′
T. Iroegbunam 🔁
↦ I. Gueye
79′
84′
N. O'Reilly 0–1
Matheus Nunes
Tim Iroegbunam 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 M. Akanji
↦ K. De Bruyne
Jordan Pickford 🟨
91′
92′
M. Kovačić 0–2
İ. Gündoğan
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
15 J. O'Brien D
6 J. Tarkowski D
32 J. Branthwaite D
19 V. Mykolenko D
37 J. Garner M
27 I. Gueye M
11 J. Harrison M
16 A. Doucouré M
10 I. Ndiaye M
22 A. Broja F
Bench (9)
5 M. Keane
14 Beto
24 C. Alcaraz
7 D. McNeil
42 T. Iroegbunam
18 A. Young
12 João Virgínia
2 N. Patterson
23 S. Coleman

Coach: D. Moyes

Man City

4-2-3-1
18 S. Ortega G
27 Matheus Nunes D
3 Rúben Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
75 N. O'Reilly D
14 Nico González M
19 İ. Gündoğan M
20 Bernardo Silva M
17 K. De Bruyne M
26 Savinho M
7 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
8 M. Kovačić
11 J. Doku
25 M. Akanji
45 A. Khusanov
82 R. Lewis
47 P. Foden
33 S. Carson
10 J. Grealish
87 J. McAtee

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,80
U
3,65
B ✓
1,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.