Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Everton
Man City
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | +43 | +42.6 | 76 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | +30 | +23.6 | 63 |
| 3 |
Newcastle
|
32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | +21 | +14.2 | 59 |
| 4 |
Nott'm Forest
|
32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | +13 | -0.7 | 57 |
| 5 |
Man City
|
32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | +20 | +16.0 | 55 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +17 | +18.4 | 54 |
| 7 |
Aston Villa
|
32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +3 | +6.3 | 54 |
| 8 |
Bournemouth
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | +12 | +16.8 | 48 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | +4 | +4.2 | 48 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +2 | +5.3 | 48 |
| 11 |
Brentford
|
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +4 | -1.1 | 43 |
| 12 |
Crystal Palace
|
32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -4 | +6.6 | 43 |
| 13 |
Everton
|
32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | -4 | -4.2 | 38 |
| 14 |
Man United
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -7 | -6.2 | 38 |
| 15 |
Tottenham
|
32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | +11 | -0.7 | 37 |
| 16 |
Wolves
|
32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | -14 | -12.4 | 35 |
| 17 |
West Ham
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -18 | -11.5 | 35 |
| 18 |
Ipswich
|
32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | -35.0 | 21 |
| 19 |
Leicester
|
32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | -45 | -36.2 | 18 |
| 20 |
Southampton
|
32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | -54 | -45.9 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Pickford
G
J. O'Brien
D
J. Tarkowski
D
J. Branthwaite
D
V. Mykolenko
D
J. Garner
M
I. Ndiaye
M
A. Broja
F
Coach: D. Moyes
S. Ortega
G
Matheus Nunes
D
Rúben Dias
D
J. Gvardiol
D
N. O'Reilly
D
Nico González
M
İ. Gündoğan
M
Bernardo Silva
M
K. De Bruyne
M
Savinho
M
Omar Marmoush
F
Coach: Pep Guardiola
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nott'm Forest
Everton
Everton
Arsenal
Liverpool
Everton
Everton
West Ham
Wolves
Everton
S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.