← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: F La Penna
Monza
T U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Napoli
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Monza Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 35%
6%
63%
Points per game
0,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,86 xG 1,56
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monza 20. · Napoli 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 +41 +31.7 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 +26 +18.9 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 +35 +22.7 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 +19 +13.0 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 +14 +11.7 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 +10 +13.4 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 +15 +10.6 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 +17 +4.7 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 +14 +20.2 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 -1 -14.5 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 -10 -9.2 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 -5 +2.8 39
13 Genoa 32 9 12 11 -9 -7.7 39
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 -29 -15.9 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 -15 -11.7 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 -14 -15.1 28
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 -32 -21.9 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 -19 -17.8 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 -26 -15.8 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 -31 -20.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monza Napoli
30′
🟨 Rafa Marín
Dany Mota 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Anguissa
↦ B. Gilmour
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro 🟨
54′
64′
🔁 G. Raspadori
↦ M. Olivera
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ J. Akpa Akpro
67′
Alessandro Bianco 🟨
70′
72′
S. McTominay 0–1
G. Raspadori
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ S. Birindelli
76′
79′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ R. Lukaku
P. Ciurria 🔁
↦ G. Castrovilli
84′
K. Urbański 🔁
↦ A. Bianco
84′
85′
🔁 C. Ngonge
↦ M. Politano
Luca Caldirola 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Cyril Ngonge
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Monza

3-5-2
30 S. Turati G
13 Pedro Pereira D
5 L. Caldirola D
44 A. Carboni D
19 S. Birindelli M
11 G. Castrovilli M
42 A. Bianco M
7 J. Akpa Akpro M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
47 Dany Mota F
10 G. Caprari F
Bench (14)
6 R. Gagliardini
35 S. Ganvoula
84 P. Ciurria
8 K. Urbański
37 A. Petagna
80 S. Vignato
21 S. Pizzignacco
55 K. Martins
3 S. Leković
22 T. Palacios
20 O. Forson
69 A. Mazza
12 S. Sensi
2 A. Brorsson

Coach: A. Nesta

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
16 Rafa Marín D
17 M. Olivera D
6 B. Gilmour M
68 S. Lobotka M
8 S. McTominay M
21 M. Politano F
11 R. Lukaku F
37 L. Spinazzola F
Bench (10)
99 F. Anguissa
81 G. Raspadori
18 G. Simeone
26 C. Ngonge
12 C. Turi
15 P. Billing
29 L. Hasa
30 P. Mazzocchi
9 N. Okafor
96 S. Scuffet

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,96
U
5,47
B ✓
1,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F La Penna · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.