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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Ferrol
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Eldense
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 20%
11%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
37%
49%
Both score Ø 42%
34%
49%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 21. · Eldense 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 35 19 9 7 +21 66
2 Levante 35 17 12 6 +20 63
3 Santander 35 17 9 9 +13 60
4 Mirandes 36 17 8 11 +13 59
5 Oviedo 35 16 10 9 +9 58
6 Huesca 35 16 9 10 +15 57
7 Almeria 36 15 11 10 +8 56
8 Granada 35 15 10 10 +12 55
9 Burgos 35 14 8 13 -4 50
10 La Coruna 35 12 13 10 +6 49
11 Cordoba 35 13 10 12 -1 49
12 Sp Gijon 36 11 14 11 +2 47
13 Albacete 35 12 11 12 +0 47
14 Eibar 35 12 11 12 -1 47
15 Castellon 36 12 10 14 +1 46
16 Cadiz 35 11 12 12 +0 45
17 Malaga 35 9 15 11 -4 42
18 Zaragoza 35 10 11 14 -3 41
19 Eldense 35 10 9 16 -13 39
20 Tenerife 35 8 8 19 -16 32
21 Ferrol 35 4 11 20 -38 23
22 Cartagena 35 4 5 26 -40 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Eldense
27′
🟨 Sergio Ortuño
37′
🟨 Iñigo Sebastián Magana
Josué Dorrio 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Álvaro Giménez
Héber Pena
49′
50′
🟨 Nacho Quintana
62′
🔁 Diego Collado
↦ Sergio Ortuño
62′
🔁 S. Gassama
↦ Nacho Quintana
70′
🔁 David Timor
↦ Juanto
70′
🔁 Masca
↦ Iñigo Piña
Nacho Sánchez 🔁
↦ Josué Dorrio
71′
Francisco De La Manzanara 🟨
73′
Eneko Jauregi 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
78′
Chiki 🔁
↦ Álvaro Sanz
78′
78′
🔁 Unai Ropero
↦ Iván Chapela
Naim García 🔁
↦ Fran Manzanara
83′
Aitor Gelardo 🔁
↦ Héber Pena
83′
93′
🟨 Sekou Gassama
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
15 David Castro D
18 Brais Martínez D
16 Fran Manzanara M
10 Josep Señé M
17 Josué Dorrio M
6 Álvaro Sanz M
8 Héber Pena M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (12)
11 Nacho Sánchez
9 Eneko Jauregi
7 Chiki
2 Naim García
14 Aitor Gelardo
12 E. Insúa
19 Manu Vallejo
5 Naldo
1 Emilio Bernad
23 E. Cabaco
13 Yoel Rodríguez
21 Raúl Blanco

Coach: Alejandro Menéndez

Eldense

4-4-1-1
1 Dani Martín G
2 Raúl Parra D
5 Iñigo Piña D
26 M. Barzić D
23 Marc Mateu D
19 Fede Vico M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
12 A. Diawara M
20 Iván Chapela M
9 Nacho Quintana F
11 Juanto F
Bench (12)
25 Diego Collado
22 S. Gassama
24 David Timor
16 Masca
18 Unai Ropero
6 Víctor Camarasa
13 Ian Mackay
36 Álvaro Aceves
21 Álex Bernal
14 Nacho Monsalve
4 D. Đumić
3 Iván Martos

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,34
U
2,90
B
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,83
U2,5 ✓
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.