Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Slask Wroclaw
GKS Katowice
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rakow
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | +24 | +11.8 | 59 |
| 2 |
Lech Poznan
|
28 | 18 | 2 | 8 | +27 | +9.1 | 56 |
| 3 |
Jagiellonia
|
28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +17 | +2.9 | 55 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +16 | +12.3 | 47 |
| 5 |
Legia
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +13 | +10.4 | 44 |
| 6 |
Cracovia
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +5 | -4.3 | 42 |
| 7 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | +4 | +5.1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Motor Lublin
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | -7 | +0.1 | 40 |
| 9 |
GKS Katowice
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | +1 | +1.7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Piast Gliwice
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -1 | -3.8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Korona Kielce
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -10 | +0.7 | 37 |
| 12 |
Widzew Lodz
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -8 | -5.9 | 36 |
| 13 |
Radomiak Radom
|
28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -5 | -0.7 | 34 |
| 14 |
Zaglebie
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -17 | -7.1 | 29 |
| 15 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | -15.3 | 27 |
| 16 |
Puszcza
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -15 | -15.2 | 26 |
| 17 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -10 | -0.8 | 25 |
| 18 |
Stal Mielec
|
28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -16 | -1.0 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cracovia
Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Slask Wroclaw
Lech Poznan
Stal Mielec
Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
Pogon Szczecin
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.