La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mallorca
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | +56 | +40.0 | 73 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | +33 | +27.1 | 66 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | +27 | +22.3 | 63 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | +24 | +16.5 | 57 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +13 | +19.6 | 51 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +3 | +9.2 | 48 |
| 7 |
Celta
|
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -2 | +9.4 | 43 |
| 8 |
Mallorca
|
31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | -6 | +1.1 | 43 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -4 | -3.0 | 41 |
| 10 |
Sociedad
|
31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | -4 | +0.3 | 41 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | +2 | -5.7 | 39 |
| 12 |
Espanol
|
31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | -20.6 | 38 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | -8 | -8.7 | 38 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -12 | -8.7 | 38 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -8 | -9.3 | 36 |
| 16 |
Girona
|
31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | -10 | -4.0 | 34 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -12 | -3.0 | 30 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -15 | -27.9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -19 | -24.7 | 28 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | -52 | -29.7 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Greif
G
Pablo Maffeo
D
M. Valjent
D
Raíllo
D
J. Mojica
D
Dani Rodríguez
M
Darder
M
Abdón Prats
F
C. Larin
F
Coach: Arrasate
M. Dmitrović
G
Jorge Sáenz
D
Y. Neyou
M
Y. Diomande
M
Adrià Alti
M
Diego García
F
Coach: Borja Jiménez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Mallorca
Mallorca
Celta
Valencia
Mallorca
Mallorca
Espanol
Ath Bilbao
Mallorca
Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.