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Süper Lig

Referee: O Çakır

Kasimpasa

T T S T S

2–1

Full-time

Alanyaspor

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

39%

26%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

74%

48%

Both score Ø 61%

70%

52%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,90 xG 0,63

45% Possession 55%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 9

3 Offside 7

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 8. · Alanyaspor 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	24	20	3	1	+45	+43.4	63
2	Galatasaray	24	20	3	1	+36	+32.2	63
3	Trabzonspor	23	11	4	8	+7	-2.5	37
4	Besiktas	23	11	3	9	+2	+9.8	36
5	Rizespor	24	10	6	8	-6	-4.6	36
6	Antalyaspor	24	8	10	6	+4	+2.7	34
7	Buyuksehyr	24	9	6	9	+3	-1.1	33
8	Kasimpasa	23	9	5	9	-4	-8.3	32
9	Ad. Demirspor	24	7	10	7	+6	-1.4	31
10	Kayserispor	24	8	7	9	-5	-7.0	31
11	Sivasspor	24	7	9	8	-7	-5.1	30
12	Ankaragücü	24	6	11	7	+2	-2.7	29
13	Hatayspor	24	6	10	8	-1	-0.4	28
14	Alanyaspor	23	6	9	8	-7	+3.9	27
15	Samsunspor	24	7	5	12	-8	+1.8	26
16	Pendikspor	24	6	8	10	-16	-8.1	26
17	Karagumruk	24	6	6	12	-1	-10.3	24
18	Gaziantep	24	6	6	12	-9	-10.8	24
19	Konyaspor	24	4	10	10	-14	-12.7	22
20	İstanbulspor	24	3	5	16	-27	-18.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	12	0	0	+21	+22.8	36
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+23	+23.0	29
3	Rizespor	13	8	3	2	+7	+5.0	27
4	Ad. Demirspor	12	7	3	2	+13	+5.0	24
5	Antalyaspor	13	5	6	2	+2	+1.0	21
6	Buyuksehyr	12	6	2	4	+6	-0.5	20
7	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+5	+6.2	20
8	Samsunspor	12	6	2	4	+3	+3.3	20
9	Karagumruk	12	5	4	3	+10	-1.3	19
10	Kayserispor	12	5	4	3	+4	+1.5	19
11	Trabzonspor	11	6	1	4	+1	+1.0	19
12	Hatayspor	12	4	6	2	+4	-0.6	18
13	Ankaragücü	13	4	6	3	+3	+3.4	18
14	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
15	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	-4.6	17
16	Pendikspor	12	4	3	5	-6	-6.1	15
17	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	-1	+1.9	13
18	Gaziantep	12	3	4	5	-4	-5.9	13
19	Konyaspor	11	3	3	5	+0	-0.7	12
20	İstanbulspor	12	2	3	7	-12	-9.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	11	1	0	+22	+20.3	34
2	Galatasaray	12	8	3	1	+15	+9.4	27
3	Trabzonspor	12	5	3	4	+6	-3.4	18
4	Sivasspor	13	5	2	6	-6	-7.0	17
5	Besiktas	12	5	1	6	-3	+3.6	16
6	Kasimpasa	12	4	3	5	-3	-3.7	15
7	Antalyaspor	11	3	4	4	+2	+1.7	13
8	Buyuksehyr	12	3	4	5	-3	-0.6	13
9	Kayserispor	12	3	3	6	-9	-8.5	12
10	Ankaragücü	11	2	5	4	-1	-6.2	11
11	Gaziantep	12	3	2	7	-5	-5.0	11
12	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	-10	-2.0	11
13	Hatayspor	12	2	4	6	-5	+0.1	10
14	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-0.2	10
15	Konyaspor	13	1	7	5	-14	-12.0	10
16	Rizespor	11	2	3	6	-13	-9.6	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	12	0	7	5	-7	-6.4	7
18	Samsunspor	12	1	3	8	-11	-1.5	6
19	Karagumruk	12	1	2	9	-11	-9.0	5
20	İstanbulspor	12	1	2	9	-15	-9.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.