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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Samsunspor

T T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Buyuksehyr

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Buyuksehyr

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

1,8

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,96 xG 1,16

37% Possession 63%

13 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 10. · Buyuksehyr 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.0	15
2	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+11	+6.3	13
3	Buyuksehyr	4	3	1	0	+6	+0.8	10
4	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+6	+4.6	10
5	Eyüpspor	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.4	9
6	Konyaspor	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
7	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	-1	-4.6	7
8	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-4.0	7
9	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.4	6
10	Samsunspor	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.7	6
11	Kasimpasa	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.1	5
12	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-10	-2.7	4
13	Trabzonspor	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.3	3
14	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.1	3
15	Alanyaspor	5	0	3	2	-5	+0.7	3
16	Bodrumspor	5	1	0	4	-5	+0.4	3
17	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.8	2
18	Hatayspor	5	0	2	3	-5	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	1	4	-7	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+8	+7.7	9
2	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
3	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.1	6
5	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
6	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
7	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
9	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
10	Alanyaspor	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.3	3
11	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
12	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
13	Konyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
14	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.2	1
15	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.4	1
16	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.2	1
17	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
18	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.9	0
19	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.2	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.8	6
3	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
4	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
5	Eyüpspor	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.4	5
6	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
7	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
9	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.8	3
10	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.2	3
11	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.0	3
12	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
13	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
14	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
15	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
16	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.1	1
17	Antalyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
18	Alanyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.6	0
19	Bodrumspor	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.