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Conference League
Referee: S Schärer
Olympiakos
S T S S S
3–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
3,0
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/14 matches
Win Ø 77%
75%
79%
Points per game
2,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
79%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
3,5
3,6
Scored
2,3
2,6
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,78 xG 1,95
39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Olympiakos Fenerbahce
1–0 K. Fortounis ⚽
G. Masouras
8′
22′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
2–0 S. Jovetić ⚽
K. Fortounis
32′
45′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ J. Oosterwolde
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Chiquinho ⚽
A. El Kaabi
57′
62′
🔁 İ. Yüksek
↦ R. Krunić
62′
🔁 Fred
↦ M. Zajc
Panagiotis Retsos 🟨
67′
68′
⚽ D. Tadić 3–1
73′
🟨 Fred
74′
⚽ İ. Kahveci 3–2
S. Szymański
Giorgos Masouras 🟨
78′
André Horta 🔁
↦ S. Jovetić
82′
Iborra 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
84′
84′
🔁 L. Bonucci
↦ Rodrigo Becão
Quini 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
87′
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
6 Chiquinho M
19 G. Masouras M
22 S. Jovetić M
7 K. Fortounis M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (10)
5 André Horta
8 Iborra
18 Quini
11 Y. El-Arabi
20 João Carvalho
74 A. Ntoi
1 A. Paschalakis
27 O. Richards
99 T. Papadoudis
15 S. Alexandropoulos

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Fenerbahce

4-4-2
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
2 Ç. Söyüncü D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
17 İ. Kahveci M
33 R. Krunić M
26 M. Zajc M
10 D. Tadić M
53 S. Szymański F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
7 F. Kadıoğlu
5 İ. Yüksek
35 Fred
19 L. Bonucci
67 D. Demir
70 İ. Eğribayat
23 M. Batshuayi
11 R. Kent
94 Ç. Fedai
92 E. Karayazı
90 Z. Dursun
95 Y. Akçiçek

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.