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Conference League
Referee: José Munuera
Ad. Demirspor
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Genk
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
6 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -23 Genk – Ad. Demirspor 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.