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Süper Lig

Referee: M Filiz

Karagumruk

S U T S T

3–2

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,0

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

39%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

55%

Both score Ø 54%

42%

65%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 10. · Kasimpasa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	31	21	8	2	+32	71
2	Konyaspor	31	17	7	7	+18	58
3	Fenerbahce	31	16	8	7	+19	56
4	Alanyaspor	31	15	7	9	+9	52
5	Buyuksehyr	31	15	5	11	+12	50
6	Ad. Demirspor	31	13	10	8	+14	49
7	Hatayspor	31	14	6	11	+2	48
8	Besiktas	31	12	11	8	+5	47
9	Antalyaspor	31	12	8	11	-1	44
10	Karagumruk	31	12	7	12	-9	43
11	Kasimpasa	31	11	8	12	+3	41
12	Sivasspor	31	10	11	10	+2	41
13	Galatasaray	31	11	8	12	-3	41
14	Gaziantep	31	11	7	13	-3	40
15	Kayserispor	31	10	8	13	-9	38
16	Giresunspor	31	10	6	15	-5	36
17	Altay	31	8	5	18	-13	29
18	Goztep	31	7	6	18	-17	27
19	Rizespor	31	7	5	19	-27	26
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	31	5	5	21	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	16	11	5	0	+17	38
2	Konyaspor	16	11	4	1	+17	37
3	Gaziantep	15	10	4	1	+16	34
4	Buyuksehyr	16	10	1	5	+10	31
5	Besiktas	15	9	4	2	+9	31
6	Hatayspor	15	9	3	3	+13	30
7	Kayserispor	16	9	3	4	+8	30
8	Fenerbahce	15	8	4	3	+11	28
9	Antalyaspor	15	8	4	3	+11	28
10	Galatasaray	16	8	3	5	+6	27
11	Ad. Demirspor	15	7	5	3	+12	26
12	Karagumruk	15	7	5	3	+8	26
13	Alanyaspor	16	7	4	5	+6	25
14	Kasimpasa	16	7	4	5	+6	25
15	Sivasspor	15	5	8	2	+9	23
16	Rizespor	16	7	2	7	-1	23
17	Giresunspor	16	6	3	7	+0	21
18	Altay	15	5	2	8	-4	17
19	Goztep	16	4	2	10	-7	14
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	15	3	3	9	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	15	10	3	2	+15	33
2	Fenerbahce	16	8	4	4	+8	28
3	Alanyaspor	15	8	3	4	+3	27
4	Ad. Demirspor	16	6	5	5	+2	23
5	Konyaspor	15	6	3	6	+1	21
6	Buyuksehyr	15	5	4	6	+2	19
7	Sivasspor	16	5	3	8	-7	18
8	Hatayspor	16	5	3	8	-11	18
9	Karagumruk	16	5	2	9	-17	17
10	Kasimpasa	15	4	4	7	-3	16
11	Besiktas	16	3	7	6	-4	16
12	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	Giresunspor	15	4	3	8	-5	15
14	Galatasaray	15	3	5	7	-9	14
15	Goztep	15	3	4	8	-10	13
16	Altay	16	3	3	10	-9	12
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	16	2	2	12	-15	8
18	Kayserispor	15	1	5	9	-17	8
19	Gaziantep	16	1	3	12	-19	6
20	Rizespor	15	0	3	12	-26	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.