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Süper Lig

Referee: A Palabıyık

Fenerbahce

U T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Kasimpasa

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

30%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fenerbahce 4. · Kasimpasa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	10	5	4	1	+8	19
2	Sivasspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
3	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	5	2	3	+12	17
4	Fenerbahce	10	5	2	3	+8	17
5	Trabzonspor	10	4	4	2	+6	16
6	Buyuksehyr	10	4	4	2	+4	16
7	Galatasaray	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Besiktas	10	4	3	3	+0	15
9	Gaziantep	10	4	3	3	-3	15
10	Konyaspor	10	3	4	3	-2	13
11	Kasimpasa	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Goztep	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Denizlispor	10	3	2	5	-3	11
14	Antalyaspor	10	3	2	5	-8	11
15	Rizespor	10	3	2	5	-8	11
16	Ankaragücü	10	2	3	5	-8	9
17	Genclerbirligi	10	1	4	5	-2	7
18	Kayserispor	10	1	4	5	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sivasspor	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Alanyaspor	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Besiktas	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Galatasaray	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	3	1	1	+10	10
6	Fenerbahce	5	3	1	1	+9	10
7	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+6	10
8	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	+5	8
9	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Goztep	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Rizespor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Kasimpasa	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Kayserispor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Ankaragücü	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Denizlispor	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Genclerbirligi	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+0	8
2	Denizlispor	5	2	2	1	+0	8
3	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	-1	8
4	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	2	1	2	+2	7
5	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Konyaspor	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Fenerbahce	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Gaziantep	5	2	1	2	-6	7
10	Trabzonspor	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Genclerbirligi	5	1	2	2	+2	5
12	Sivasspor	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Galatasaray	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Goztep	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Besiktas	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Kayserispor	5	0	2	3	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.