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Süper Lig
Referee: S Arslanboğa
Goztep
U T U S T
0–2
Full-time
Hatayspor
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goztep 15. · Hatayspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 6 4 2 0 +8 14
2 Trabzonspor 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Altay 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Karagumruk 6 3 2 1 +5 11
5 Konyaspor 5 3 2 0 +4 11
6 Hatayspor 5 3 1 1 +7 10
7 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Alanyaspor 5 3 0 2 -5 9
9 Galatasaray 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Kayserispor 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Sivasspor 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Ad. Demirspor 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Goztep 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Kasimpasa 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Antalyaspor 6 1 2 3 -4 5
18 Buyuksehyr 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Giresunspor 5 0 1 4 -6 1
20 Rizespor 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Hatayspor
26′
🔁 M. Boudjemaa
↦ I. Sackey
29′
🟨 Sam Adekugbe
Dino Arslanagić 🟨
34′
35′
M. Diouf 0–1
B. Öksüz
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Burak Oksuz
Berkan Emir 🟨
55′
55′
🟨 Mame Biram Diouf
B. Şimşek 🔁
↦ Y. Kayan
63′
Beykan Şimşek ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
75′
75′
ℹ️ Beykan Şimşek
VAR: Card upgrade
Beykan Şimşek 🟥
76′
78′
M. Diouf 0–2
S. Lobzhanidze
D. Tijanič 🔁
↦ Lourency
80′
A. Jahović 🔁
↦ S. Aydoğdu
80′
80′
🔁 E. Çolak
↦ N. Traoré
80′
🔁 M. Kamara
↦ A. El Kaabi
85′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
85′
🔁 B. Çamoglu
↦ K. Çörekçi
B. Ideye 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Goztep

4-3-3
1 İ. Eğribayat G
40 W. Ángel D
15 D. Arslanagić D
41 B. Emir D
2 K. Alıcı D
8 S. Aydoğdu M
7 H. Akbunar M
5 O. Nwobodo M
30 Y. Kayan F
11 Lourency F
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
10 B. Şimşek
43 D. Tijanič
18 A. Jahović
22 B. Ideye
13 A. Özçimen
14 M. Baku
23 A. Çankaya
4 K. Demirtaş
68 D. Bureković
33 A. Nukan

Coach: N. El Maestro

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
5 I. Sackey M
17 N. Traoré M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
8 M. Boudjemaa
10 E. Çolak
20 M. Kamara
95 D. Saint-Louis
2 B. Çamoglu
61 B. Cevahir
87 E. Fansa
31 A. Yiğiter
77 S. Baş
19 M. Mert

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
U
3,31
B ✓
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Arslanboğa · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.