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Süper Lig
Referee: A Ulusoy
Hatayspor
T U T S S
2–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 9. · Kayserispor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Trabzonspor 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Konyaspor 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Karagumruk 5 3 1 1 +5 10
5 Fenerbahce 4 3 1 0 +5 10
6 Altay 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Alanyaspor 5 3 0 2 -5 9
8 Galatasaray 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 +6 7
10 Kayserispor 4 2 1 1 +0 7
11 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 2 0 3 -5 6
12 Goztep 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Kasimpasa 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Gaziantep 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Ad. Demirspor 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Antalyaspor 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Sivasspor 5 0 3 2 -2 3
18 Giresunspor 5 0 1 4 -6 1
19 Rizespor 5 0 1 4 -8 1
20 Buyuksehyr 4 0 0 4 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Kayserispor
4′
B. Mensah 0–1
E. Başsan
Fatih Kurucuk 🟨
33′
Onur Ergun 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
S. Lobzhanidze 🔁
↦ M. Kamara
46′
46′
🔁 Miguel Cardoso
↦ E. Başsan
1–1 M. Diouf
S. Lobzhanidze
52′
53′
🟨 Joseph Attamah
59′
🔁 O. Kemen
↦ G. Sazdağı
64′
🟨 Olivier Kemen
66′
🔁 Carlos Mané
↦ B. Mensah
66′
🔁 M. Hosseini
↦ R. Civelek
M. Boudjemaa 🔁
↦ O. Ergün
70′
2–1 A. El Kaabi
N. Traoré
71′
80′
🔁 Manuel Fernandes
↦ J. Attamah
Mehdi Boudjemaa 🟨
89′
Munir 🟨
90′
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
90′
I. Sackey 🔁
↦ N. Traoré
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
17 N. Traoré M
4 O. Ergün M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
20 M. Kamara M
Bench (10)
11 S. Lobzhanidze
8 M. Boudjemaa
95 D. Saint-Louis
5 I. Sackey
61 B. Cevahir
10 E. Çolak
31 A. Yiğiter
19 M. Mert
87 E. Fansa
2 B. Çamoglu

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Kayserispor

4-4-1-1
33 S. Lung G
4 D. Kolovetsios D
27 O. Bulut D
28 R. Civelek D
32 Y. Subaşı D
17 E. Başsan M
24 İ. Akdağ M
11 G. Sazdağı F
3 J. Attamah M
43 B. Mensah F
26 M. Thiam M
Bench (10)
7 Miguel Cardoso
10 O. Kemen
20 Carlos Mané
5 M. Hosseini
8 Manuel Fernandes
23 İ. Parlak
14 E. Demir
9 M. Pektemek
1 C. Gönen
77 N. Korkmaz

Coach: H. Karaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,73
B
3,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ulusoy · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.