Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Niort
Valenciennes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | +50 | 79 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
37 | 21 | 9 | 7 | +19 | 72 |
| 3 |
Auxerre
|
37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | +21 | 71 |
| 4 |
Paris FC
|
37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | +17 | 67 |
| 5 |
Sochaux
|
37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | +13 | 67 |
| 6 |
Guingamp
|
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 55 |
| 7 |
Caen
|
37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | +11 | 50 |
| 8 |
Le Havre
|
37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 50 |
| 9 |
Nimes
|
37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 |
Niort
|
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 |
Dijon
|
37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 |
Pau FC
|
37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 |
Amiens
|
37 | 9 | 17 | 11 | +3 | 44 |
| 14 |
Grenoble
|
37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | -10 | 44 |
| 15 |
Bastia
|
37 | 9 | 16 | 12 | +0 | 43 |
| 16 |
Valenciennes
|
37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 41 |
| 17 |
Rodez
|
37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | -19 | 37 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -23 | 31 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
37 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -36 | 27 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Pau FC
Niort
Niort
Dijon
Toulouse
Niort
Niort
Bastia
Nancy
Niort
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.