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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hearts
S S U T T
1–3
Full-time
Rangers
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 58%
46%
70%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
51%
Both score Ø 51%
51%
51%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Rangers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 37 26 8 3 +47 86
3 Hearts 37 17 10 10 +12 61
4 Livingston 37 12 10 15 -6 46
5 Motherwell 37 12 10 15 -13 46
6 Dundee United 37 11 12 14 -8 45
7 St Mirren 37 10 13 14 -18 43
8 Hibernian 37 10 12 15 -8 42
9 Ross County 37 10 11 16 -13 41
10 Aberdeen 37 10 10 17 -5 40
11 ST Johnstone 37 8 11 18 -23 35
12 Dundee 37 6 11 20 -29 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Rangers
J. Ginnelly 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
12′
Ellis Simms 🟨
15′
1–0 P. Haring
E. Simms
24′
32′
C. Itten 1–1
A. Lowry
Half-time 1–2
46′
A. Lowry 1–2
A. Ramsey
N. Atkinson 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
46′
46′
🔁 C. McCann
↦ S. Arfield
53′
🟨 Alexander Lowry
60′
🔁 C. McKinnon
↦ A. Ramsey
61′
🔁 R. McCausland
↦ A. Diallo
61′
🔁 J. Simpson
↦ L. Balogun
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ M. Smith
68′
J. Souttar 🔁
↦ P. Haring
68′
69′
🟨 Leon King
71′
🔁 T. Weston
↦ S. Davis
C. Halkett 🔁
↦ E. Simms
75′
81′
C. McKinnon 1–3
R. McCausland
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-2-1
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
3 S. Kingsley D
17 A. Cochrane D
21 T. Sibbick D
11 G. Mackay-Steven F
5 P. Haring M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce F
18 B. McKay M
20 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
30 J. Ginnelly
12 N. Atkinson
16 A. Halliday
4 J. Souttar
19 C. Halkett
9 B. Woodburn
13 R. Stewart
8 A. McEneff
15 T. Moore

Coach: R. Neilson

Rangers

4-3-3
33 J. McLaughlin G
26 L. Balogun D
43 L. King D
64 A. Devine D
10 S. Davis M
37 S. Arfield M
16 A. Ramsey M
19 J. Sands D
51 A. Lowry F
11 C. Itten F
9 A. Diallo F
Bench (9)
42 C. McCann
58 C. McKinnon
54 R. McCausland
15 J. Simpson
52 T. Weston
60 R. Fraser
50 K. Ritchie-Hosler
59 M. Miller
28 R. McCrorie

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,69
B ✓
2,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.