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Ligue 2

Nimes

T S S S T

0–2

Full-time

Bastia

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

57%

32%

Both score Ø 51%

51%

Average goals

2,5

1,9

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nimes 9. · Bastia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	37	23	10	4	+50	79
2	Ajaccio	37	21	9	7	+19	72
3	Auxerre	37	20	11	6	+21	71
4	Paris FC	37	19	10	8	+17	67
5	Sochaux	37	19	10	8	+13	67
6	Guingamp	37	14	13	10	+3	55
7	Caen	37	13	11	13	+11	50
8	Le Havre	37	13	11	13	-2	50
9	Nimes	37	14	7	16	-5	49
10	Niort	37	12	10	15	-2	46
11	Dijon	37	13	7	17	-5	46
12	Pau FC	37	13	7	17	-9	46
13	Amiens	37	9	17	11	+3	44
14	Grenoble	37	12	8	17	-10	44
15	Bastia	37	9	16	12	+0	43
16	Valenciennes	37	9	14	14	-14	41
17	Rodez	37	9	13	15	-12	40
18	Quevilly Rouen	37	9	10	18	-19	37
19	Dunkerque	37	8	7	22	-23	31
20	Nancy	37	6	9	22	-36	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	19	14	4	1	+38	46
2	Ajaccio	18	12	3	3	+12	39
3	Paris FC	18	10	7	1	+15	37
4	Sochaux	18	10	5	3	+8	35
5	Auxerre	18	10	4	4	+13	34
6	Pau FC	19	10	2	7	+5	32
7	Caen	19	9	3	7	+12	30
8	Guingamp	18	8	6	4	+6	30
9	Amiens	19	7	6	6	+10	27
10	Bastia	19	5	12	2	+7	27
11	Dijon	19	8	3	8	-1	27
12	Niort	18	7	5	6	+5	26
13	Grenoble	19	7	5	7	+0	26
14	Le Havre	19	6	5	8	-3	23
15	Nimes	18	6	4	8	-4	22
16	Rodez	18	4	9	5	-2	21
17	Dunkerque	19	5	6	8	-7	21
18	Valenciennes	19	5	5	9	-9	20
19	Quevilly Rouen	18	4	7	7	-6	19
20	Nancy	18	4	4	10	-16	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	19	10	7	2	+8	37
2	Toulouse	18	9	6	3	+12	33
3	Ajaccio	19	9	6	4	+7	33
4	Sochaux	19	9	5	5	+5	32
5	Paris FC	19	9	3	7	+2	30
6	Le Havre	18	7	6	5	+1	27
7	Nimes	19	8	3	8	-1	27
8	Guingamp	19	6	7	6	-3	25
9	Valenciennes	18	4	9	5	-5	21
10	Caen	18	4	8	6	-1	20
11	Niort	19	5	5	9	-7	20
12	Dijon	18	5	4	9	-4	19
13	Rodez	19	5	4	10	-10	19
14	Grenoble	18	5	3	10	-10	18
15	Quevilly Rouen	19	5	3	11	-13	18
16	Amiens	18	2	11	5	-7	17
17	Bastia	18	4	4	10	-7	16
18	Pau FC	18	3	5	10	-14	14
19	Nancy	19	2	5	12	-20	11
20	Dunkerque	18	3	1	14	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.