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Super League

Referee: A Kulbakov

Aris Thessalonikis

S U S T S

1–3

Full-time

AEK

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Super League · 28/31 matches

Win Ø 55%

57%

52%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

32%

48%

Both score Ø 39%

25%

52%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

52% Possession 48%

6 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 2. · AEK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	31	25	5	1	+58	80
2	Aris Thessalonikis	28	16	6	6	+19	54
3	Aris	29	16	6	7	+17	54
4	AEK	31	16	6	9	+7	54
5	Panathinaikos	30	15	7	8	+14	52
6	PAOK	30	14	9	7	+21	51
7	Asteras Tripolis	31	12	10	9	-2	46
8	Volos NFC	31	9	11	11	-7	38
9	Giannina	30	9	9	12	-3	36
10	Apollon	31	8	6	17	-13	30
11	Atromitos	31	6	12	13	-16	30
12	Lamia	30	7	9	14	-21	30
13	OFI Crete	31	6	6	19	-24	24
14	Larisa	31	5	8	18	-25	23
15	Panetolikos	31	4	10	17	-25	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	14	2	0	+34	44
2	PAOK	15	9	6	0	+21	33
3	Aris Thessalonikis	14	9	2	3	+11	29
4	Aris	15	9	2	4	+9	29
5	Panathinaikos	15	8	4	3	+10	28
6	Asteras Tripolis	15	8	4	3	+4	28
7	AEK	15	6	4	5	+0	22
8	Volos NFC	16	5	5	6	-2	20
9	Atromitos	16	4	7	5	-2	19
10	Giannina	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Lamia	15	4	5	6	-7	17
12	Panetolikos	15	4	3	8	-8	15
13	Apollon	16	4	2	10	-9	14
14	OFI Crete	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	Larisa	15	1	6	8	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	11	3	1	+24	36
2	AEK	16	10	2	4	+7	32
3	Aris Thessalonikis	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Aris	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	Panathinaikos	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Giannina	15	5	4	6	+0	19
7	PAOK	15	5	3	7	+0	18
8	Volos NFC	15	4	6	5	-5	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	16	4	6	6	-6	18
10	Apollon	15	4	4	7	-4	16
11	Larisa	16	4	2	10	-11	14
12	Lamia	15	3	4	8	-14	13
13	OFI Crete	16	3	3	10	-10	12
14	Atromitos	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Panetolikos	16	0	7	9	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.