Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Atromitos
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
31 | 21 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 69 |
| 2 |
AEK
|
31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | +28 | 57 |
| 3 |
Panathinaikos
|
31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | +9 | 57 |
| 4 |
PAOK
|
31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | +24 | 53 |
| 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 51 |
| 6 |
Aris
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 51 |
| 7 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 45 |
| 8 |
OFI Crete
|
32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 |
Panetolikos
|
32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 |
Levadeiakos
|
32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 11 |
Atromitos
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 |
Volos NFC
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -18 | 34 |
| 13 |
Panserraikos
|
32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 |
Athens Kallithea
|
32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 |
Lamia
|
32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | -39 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
Aris
Atromitos
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
OFI Crete
Atromitos
Atromitos
Panathinaikos
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.