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Super League
Referee: S Zabalas
1–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Super League · 14/16 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
43%
38%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
7 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Panetolikos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 16 13 3 0 +21 42
2 AEK 16 12 2 2 +27 38
3 PAOK 16 8 6 2 +11 30
4 Olympiakos 16 8 5 3 +14 29
5 Volos NFC 16 8 4 4 +0 28
6 Aris 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Aris Thessalonikis 14 6 4 4 +9 22
8 Atromitos 16 5 5 6 +0 20
9 Panetolikos 16 5 4 7 +0 19
10 Asteras Tripolis 16 2 8 6 -10 14
11 OFI Crete 16 2 6 8 -12 12
12 Levadeiakos 17 2 6 9 -12 12
13 Giannina 15 2 4 9 -20 10
14 Lamia 15 1 6 8 -22 9
15 Ionikos 16 1 5 10 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.