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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Antalyaspor
U T S T U
3–1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
67%
Both score Ø 51%
46%
56%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antalyaspor 13. · Alanyaspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 26 20 3 3 +35 63
2 Fenerbahce 26 18 3 5 +34 57
3 Besiktas 27 16 7 4 +24 55
4 Ad. Demirspor 27 13 9 5 +21 48
5 Buyuksehyr 26 13 6 7 +9 45
6 Trabzonspor 27 13 5 9 +7 44
7 Kayserispor 27 14 2 11 +6 44
8 Konyaspor 27 8 12 7 +2 36
9 Karagumruk 26 8 10 8 +4 34
10 Alanyaspor 27 8 8 11 -8 32
11 Kasimpasa 27 9 5 13 -8 32
12 Sivasspor 27 8 7 12 -4 31
13 Antalyaspor 26 8 5 13 -8 29
14 Ankaragücü 26 8 4 14 -10 28
15 Ümraniyespor 28 6 8 14 -9 26
16 Gaziantep 28 6 7 15 -17 25
17 Giresunspor 26 5 9 12 -21 24
18 İstanbulspor 26 7 3 16 -23 24
19 Hatayspor 26 6 5 15 -34 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Alanyaspor
Doğukan Sinik 🟨
15′
21′
Koka 0–1
Ivan Cavaleiro
Fernando 🟨
23′
1–1 D. Sinik
S. Larsson
27′
2–1 A. Ndao
39′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Ivan Cavaleiro
46′
🔁 E. Bekiroğlu
↦ F. Aksoy
46′
🔁 Y. Özdemir
↦ J. Balkovec
H. Ghacha 🔁
↦ D. Sinik
67′
73′
🟨 Idrissa Doumbia
75′
🔁 A. Lusamba
↦ I. Doumbia
77′
🔁 Z. Ferhat
↦ Pedro Pereira
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ A. Ndao
81′
82′
🟥 Umut Güneş
3–1 B. Yıldırım
H. Wright
85′
C. Sertel 🔁
↦ G. Vural
90′
E. Rakip 🔁
↦ U. Akyol
90′
90′
🔁 E. Yardımcı
↦ Koka
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
90 Helton Leite G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
5 E. Uzunhan D
11 G. Vural D
19 U. Akyol M
8 Fernando M
18 A. Ndao M
20 S. Larsson M
70 D. Sinik M
9 H. Wright F
Bench (10)
27 H. Ghacha
17 B. Yıldırım
3 C. Sertel
6 E. Rakip
35 A. Dadakdeniz
99 B. Szabó
2 S. Floranus
26 M. Mampassi
22 S. Nakajima
21 Ö. Toprak

Coach: N. Şahin

Alanyaspor

4-3-3
13 R. Rúnarsson G
27 Pedro Pereira D
4 F. Bayır D
23 J. Rassoul D
29 J. Balkovec D
98 I. Doumbia M
20 F. Aksoy M
6 U. Güneş M
7 E. Karaca F
93 Koka F
19 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (10)
11 E. Bekiroğlu
88 Y. Özdemir
97 A. Lusamba
10 Z. Ferhat
9 E. Yardımcı
99 Y. Karagöz
24 E. Koulouris
70 O. Aydın
89 Z. Feddal
5 Ü. Akdağ

Coach: E. Yanal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,62
B
3,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.