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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Alanyaspor
S T S S T
1–3
Full-time
Antalyaspor
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
41%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 6. · Antalyaspor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 33 21 10 2 +32 73
2 Fenerbahce 32 17 8 7 +21 59
3 Konyaspor 32 17 7 8 +17 58
4 Buyuksehyr 32 16 5 11 +14 53
5 Ad. Demirspor 32 14 10 8 +16 52
6 Alanyaspor 32 15 7 10 +6 52
7 Besiktas 32 13 11 8 +8 50
8 Hatayspor 33 14 7 12 -1 49
9 Antalyaspor 32 13 8 11 +2 47
10 Karagumruk 33 13 8 12 -8 47
11 Sivasspor 33 10 12 11 +0 42
12 Kayserispor 33 11 9 13 -8 42
13 Kasimpasa 32 11 8 13 +2 41
14 Gaziantep 32 11 8 13 -3 41
15 Galatasaray 32 11 8 13 -5 41
16 Giresunspor 32 11 6 15 -4 39
17 Rizespor 33 8 6 19 -26 30
18 Altay 32 8 5 19 -15 29
19 Goztep 32 7 6 19 -18 27
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 32 5 5 22 -30 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Antalyaspor
17′
H. Wright 0–1
Luiz Adriano
19′
🟨 Bünyamin Balcı
36′
🟨 Hakan Özmert
Efecan Karaca 🟨
38′
40′
G. Bayrakdar 0–2
Luiz Adriano
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 A. Ndao
↦ Luiz Adriano
46′
🔁 S. Floranus
↦ B. Balcı
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ Wilson Eduardo
58′
U. Güneş 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroglu
58′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ Candeias
58′
58′
G. Bayrakdar 0–3
62′
🔁 Fredy
↦ H. Özmert
F. Diédhiou 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
71′
77′
🔁 Naldo
↦ H. Wright
77′
🔁 A. Poli
↦ D. Sinik
1–3 F. Diédhiou
T. Bingöl
78′
86′
🟨 Güray Vural
E. Yardımcı 🔁
↦ C. Borja
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-1-4-1
28 Marafona G
19 N. Milunović D
24 Juanfran D
31 C. Borja D
15 C. Awaziem D
21 Candeias M
7 E. Karaca M
18 João Novais M
23 E. Akbaba M
11 E. Bekiroglu M
17 Wilson Eduardo F
Bench (10)
70 O. Aydın
6 U. Güneş
75 T. Bingöl
14 F. Diédhiou
9 E. Yardımcı
35 F. Bayır
3 A. Gülay
20 F. Aksoy
4 L. Fer
1 S. Kırıntılı

Coach: Felipe Sánchez

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 R. Boffin G
13 F. Kudryashov D
89 V. Sarı D
77 B. Balcı D
88 H. Özmert M
11 G. Vural D
20 Fernando M
7 D. Sinik M
70 Luiz Adriano M
9 H. Wright F
41 G. Bayrakdar M
Bench (10)
28 A. Ndao
2 S. Floranus
16 Fredy
4 Naldo
15 A. Poli
38 M. Erdilman
27 H. Ghacha
30 A. Dadakdeniz
8 N. Şahin
5 B. Öztürk

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,37
B ✓
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.