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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Alanyaspor
T S T U T
3–2
Full-time
Antalyaspor
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 24%
22%
25%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 11. · Antalyaspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 9 5 3 1 +7 18
2 Ad. Demirspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
3 Konyaspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Fenerbahce 8 5 2 1 +15 17
5 Buyuksehyr 8 5 2 1 +8 17
6 Galatasaray 8 5 2 1 +4 17
7 Trabzonspor 9 5 2 2 +2 17
8 Kayserispor 9 4 1 4 +3 13
9 Kasimpasa 9 4 1 4 -7 13
10 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Alanyaspor 9 2 3 4 -6 9
12 Giresunspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 İstanbulspor 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Ankaragücü 8 2 1 5 -5 7
15 Sivasspor 9 1 4 4 -5 7
16 Antalyaspor 8 2 1 5 -6 7
17 Hatayspor 8 2 1 5 -6 7
18 Karagumruk 8 1 3 4 -4 6
19 Ümraniyespor 9 0 3 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Antalyaspor
Efecan Karaca 🟨
25′
29′
🟨 Houssameddine Guecha
1–0 Koka
Candeias
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Larsson
↦ G. Bayrakdar
2–0 A. Lusamba
51′
57′
H. Wright 2–1
C. Sertel
U. Güneş 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroğlu
69′
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ A. Lusamba
69′
3–1 I. Doumbia
70′
75′
🔁 S. Gümüş
↦ H. Ghacha
76′
🔁 H. Özmert
↦ Fredy
76′
🔁 S. Floranus
↦ C. Sertel
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
77′
Z. Ferhat 🔁
↦ Candeias
77′
Idrissa Doumbia 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Hakan Özmert
84′
🔁 M. Erdilman
↦ U. Akyol
87′
H. Wright 3–2
M. Erdilman
J. Balkovec 🔁
↦ J. Rassoul
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-3-3
13 R. Rúnarsson G
20 F. Aksoy D
4 F. Bayır D
23 J. Rassoul D
88 Y. Özdemir D
97 A. Lusamba M
8 L. Fer M
11 E. Bekiroğlu M
7 E. Karaca F
93 Koka F
21 Candeias F
Bench (10)
6 U. Güneş
98 I. Doumbia
70 O. Aydın
10 Z. Ferhat
29 J. Balkovec
27 Pedro Pereira
18 O. Targhalline
99 Y. Karagöz
14 F. Diédhiou
17 Wilson Eduardo

Coach: F. Farioli

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Uysal G
7 B. Balcı D
28 C. Luyindama D
21 Ö. Toprak D
3 C. Sertel D
16 Fredy M
19 U. Akyol M
17 G. Bayrakdar M
10 Luiz Adriano M
27 H. Ghacha M
9 H. Wright F
Bench (10)
20 S. Larsson
77 S. Gümüş
88 H. Özmert
2 S. Floranus
30 M. Erdilman
4 A. Gerxhaliu
14 A. Mehmedi
35 A. Dadakdeniz
89 V. Sarı
29 K. Arıcan

Coach: N. Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,40
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.