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Super League
Referee: Panagiotis Koukoulas
1–1
Full-time
Panetolikos
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
9%
36%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 41%
45%
36%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 13. · Panetolikos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 11 9 1 1 +17 28
2 PAOK 10 7 2 1 +13 23
3 AEK 10 7 1 2 +4 22
4 Levadeiakos 11 5 4 2 +14 19
5 Volos NFC 11 6 0 5 -2 18
6 Panathinaikos 10 4 4 2 +3 16
7 Panetolikos 11 4 2 5 -2 14
8 Aris Thessalonikis 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Aris 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Kifisia 11 3 3 5 -2 12
11 Atromitos 11 2 3 6 -2 9
12 OFI Crete 10 3 0 7 -8 9
13 Asteras Tripolis 11 1 5 5 -4 8
14 Larisa 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Panserraikos 11 1 3 7 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos
Nikos Kaltsas 🟨
-5′
Nikos Kaltsas 🟨
-5′
Nikos Kaltsas 🟥
-5′
8′
ℹ️ Béni Nkololo
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Issiaga Sylla 🟨
9′
1–0 K. Ketu
E. Yablonskiy
32′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Béni Nkololo
O. Alagbe 🔁
↦ T. Tzandaris
60′
E. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ E. Yablonskiy
60′
66′
🔁 L. Smyrlis
↦ K. Michalak
J. Mendieta 🔁
↦ N. Kaltsas
76′
D. Emmanouilidis 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
77′
N. Gioacchini 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
81′
81′
🔁 S. Kontouris
↦ C. Sielis
81′
🔁 K. Aleksic
↦ B. Nkololo
Robert Ivanov 🟨
87′
88′
J. Aguirre 1–1
C. Manrique
90′
🔁 C. Belevonis
↦ A. Matan
91′
🔁 M. Luis
↦ J. Aguirre
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-1-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
72 D. Fernandez D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
2 R. Ivanov D
4 I. Sylla D
20 N. Kaltsas M
5 E. Yablonskiy M
8 T. Tzandaris M
40 K. Ketu
7 J. Bartolo F
41 F. Macheda F
Bench (12)
16 P. Tsintotas
71 S. Angelidis
3 N. Sipcic
19 P. Castano
29 K. Pomonis
69 O. Alagbe
10 E. Gonzalez
11 D. Emmanouilidis
49 G. Charalampoglou
22 Munoz Mumo
32 J. Mendieta
9 N. Gioacchini

Coach: Savvas Pantelidis

Panetolikos

4-1-4-1
13 L. Chaves G
35 C. Mavrias D
4 U. Garcia D
16 C. Sielis D
15 C. Manrique D
41 A. Bouchalakis M
11 B. Nkololo M
22 Esteban Diego
10 A. Matan M
71 K. Michalak M
9 J. Aguirre
Bench (9)
1 M. Pardalos
12 Z. Zivkovic
6 S. Kontouris
7 L. Smyrlis
8 C. Belevonis
14 K. Aleksic
23 G. Agapakis
77 E. Nikolaou
90 M. Luis

Coach: Giannis Petrakis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,15
B
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.