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League Cup
Referee: T Parsons
Peterborough
T S T S S
3–3
Full-time
Barnsley
S S T U S
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Peterborough Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — League Cup · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 28
9 Shots on target 15
3 Blocked shots 4
11 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Peterborough 4. · Barnsley 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bradford 3 2 1 0 +4 +0.7 7
2 Chelsea 2 2 0 0 +5 +2.7 6
3 West Ham 2 2 0 0 +5 – 6
4 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 +5 – 6
5 Wolves 2 2 0 0 +5 – 6
6 Fleetwood Town 2 2 0 0 +5 +0.2 6
7 Norwich 2 2 0 0 +4 – 6
8 Sheffield United 2 2 0 0 +4 – 6
9 Newcastle 2 2 0 0 +2 – 6
10 Lincoln 3 2 0 1 +0 – 6
11 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 +0 – 6
12 Reading 2 1 1 0 +3 +0.3 4
13 Stoke 2 1 1 0 +2 -1.0 4
14 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 +1 – 4
15 Walsall 2 1 1 0 +1 – 4
16 Leyton Orient 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
17 Millwall 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.4 4
18 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +5 +1.5 3
19 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.8 3
20 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +4 – 3
21 Everton 1 1 0 0 +4 – 3
22 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +3 – 3
23 Fulham 1 1 0 0 +3 +3.8 3
24 West Brom 2 1 0 1 +2 – 3
25 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +2 – 3
26 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +2 – 3
27 Luton 2 1 0 1 +1 -2.7 3
28 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 +1 – 3
29 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
30 Crewe 2 1 0 1 +0 – 3
31 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 – 3
32 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 +0 – 3
33 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 +0 – 3
34 Cambridge United 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.4 3
35 Leeds 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.5 3
36 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -1 – 3
37 Southampton 2 1 0 1 -1 – 3
38 Leicester 2 1 0 1 -1 – 3
39 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 -1 – 3
40 Charlton 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.8 3
41 Stevenage 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.3 3
42 Watford 2 1 0 1 -3 – 3
43 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 -4 -1.5 3
44 Burnley 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.3 2
45 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
46 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
47 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
48 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
49 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
50 Bromley 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
51 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
52 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
53 Newport County 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
54 Hull 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.8 1
55 Rochdale 2 0 1 1 -2 – 1
56 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 -2 – 1
57 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 -3 -3.8 1
58 Preston 2 0 1 1 -4 – 1
59 Shrewsbury 2 0 1 1 -4 -0.2 1
60 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
61 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
62 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
63 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
64 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
65 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
66 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
67 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
68 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
69 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
70 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
71 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
72 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
73 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
74 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
75 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
76 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
77 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
78 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
79 York 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
80 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
81 Colchester 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
82 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -3 – 0
83 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -3 – 0
84 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 – 0
85 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -3 – 0
86 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -3 – 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -25 Peterborough – Barnsley 0–1 18. Apr -22 Barnsley – Peterborough 0–2 27. Nov -21 Peterborough – Barnsley 0–0

Match report

Peterborough Barnsley
1′
⚽ Cameron McGeehan 0–1
1–1 Harry Leonard ⚽
19′
26′
🟨 Connor O'Riordan
2–1 D. Ormerod ⚽
Harley Mills
27′
40′
⚽ Reyes Cleary 2–2
Arley Kay
Half-time 2–2
51′
🟨 A. Richards
Liam Kelly 🔁
↦ Harry Ashfield
57′
Harrison Jones 🔁
↦ Brandon·Singh Khela
57′
60′
🔁 Noah Town
↦ Ben Hamed Touré
60′
🔁 Clayton Taylor
↦ A. Richards
61′
🟨 Cameron McGeehan
Owura Edwards 🟨
68′
74′
⚽ Reyes Cleary 2–3
Clayton Taylor
Bolu Shofowoke 🔁
↦ Ethan Williams
75′
Harry Leonard 🟨
76′
84′
🔁 L. Alker
↦ Cameron McGeehan
3–3 D. Ormerod ⚽
Harley Mills
88′
91′
⚽ Luca Connell 3–4
4–4 Harry Leonard ⚽
92′
93′
⚽ Patrick Kelly 4–5
Lucca Mendonça 🟨
94′
Chris Conn-Clarke 🔁
↦ Lucca Mendonça
94′
5–5 D. Ormerod ⚽
94′
94′
⚽ Tyrese Noslin 5–6
6–6 Chris Conn-Clarke ⚽
95′
96′
⚽ Arley Kay 6–7
7–7 Harley Mills ⚽
96′
97′
⚽ Reyes Cleary 7–8
8–8 Liam Kelly ⚽
98′
98′
⚽ S. Gale 8–9
9–9 Joshua Feeney ⚽
99′
100′
❌ L. Alker
penalty missed
10–9 Harrison Jones ⚽
100′
Full-time 10–9

Line-ups

Peterborough

4-2-3-1
1 A. Bass G
18 Lucca Mendonça D
12 Joshua Feeney D
26 D. Okagbue D
14 Harley Mills D
45 Harry Ashfield M
8 B. Khela M
11 O. Edwards M
27 D. Ormerod M
10 Ethan Williams M
9 H. Leonard F
Bench (9)
3 E. Weir
19 Bolu Shofowoke
4 L. Kelly
7 Harrison Jones
20 C. Conn-Clarke
34 Ejiro Abbey
36 N. Freeman
35 E. Fox
23 C. Andeng Ndi

Coach: L. Williams

Barnsley

4-2-3-1
51 Kieren Flavell G
11 T. Noslin D
6 C. O'Riordan D
4 S. Gale D
2 A. Kay D
8 C. McGeehan M
48 L. Connell M
17 Amani Richards M
22 Patrick Kelly M
19 R. Cleary M
10 B. Touré F
Bench (9)
13 C. Taylor
5 J. Shepherd
12 J. Okedina
9 M. Kirk
39 Leo Farrell
30 Jonathan Bland
28 J. Andrassy
34 N. Town
36 L. Alker

Coach: D. Stendel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
🔒
U ✓
3,80
🔒
B
2,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,13
🔒
U1,5
5,00
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,53
🔒
U2,5
2,40
🔒
O3,5 ✓
2,30
🔒
U3,5
1,57
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,46
🔒
BLS nei
2,52
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Parsons · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.