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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Rakow

T T T T S

2–3

Full-time

Zaglebie

U U T U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

0,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

86%

43%

Both score Ø 72%

86%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,1

Conceded

2,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,17 xG 1,38

66% Possession 34%

21 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 18. · Zaglebie 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	7	6	0	1	+6	+0.6	18
2	Legia	8	4	4	0	+9	+4.6	16
3	Lech Poznan	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.4	16
4	Wisla	8	4	2	2	+4	+4.5	14
5	Piast Gliwice	8	4	1	3	+2	-4.8	13
6	Pogon Szczecin	7	3	3	1	+5	-1.1	12
7	Korona Kielce	7	3	3	1	+3	-1.9	12
8	Zaglebie	7	3	3	1	+2	+0.6	12
9	Jagiellonia	7	4	0	3	+1	+1.9	12
10	GKS Katowice	7	3	0	4	+2	-1.3	9
11	Widzew Lodz	8	1	5	2	+0	-0.2	8
12	Cracovia	8	2	2	4	-4	+3.2	8
13	Wisla Plock	7	2	2	3	-5	-0.9	8
14	Radomiak Radom	8	2	2	4	-9	-2.4	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	1	3	4	-3	-0.1	6
16	Motor Lublin	8	1	2	5	-6	-1.0	5
17	Wieczysta Krakow	7	1	1	5	-6	-0.9	4
18	Rakow	7	1	0	6	-7	-7.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	4	4	0	0	+6	+2.1	12
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.6	10
3	Zaglebie	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.8	10
4	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	+2	-1.0	9
5	Legia	4	2	2	0	+7	+2.0	8
6	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.2	8
7	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
8	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.0	7
9	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.1	6
11	Cracovia	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.2	6
12	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.8	5
13	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.2	4
14	Korona Kielce	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.0	3
15	Motor Lublin	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.7	3
16	Rakow	4	1	0	3	-4	-3.9	3
17	Widzew Lodz	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
18	Wieczysta Krakow	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
2	Korona Kielce	4	3	0	1	+3	-1.9	9
3	Legia	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.5	8
4	Widzew Lodz	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.4	6
5	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
6	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.7	6
7	Piast Gliwice	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
8	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
9	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	-5	-2.1	4
10	Wieczysta Krakow	5	1	0	4	-5	-0.2	3
11	GKS Katowice	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.6	3
12	Wisla	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.4	2
13	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.2	2
14	Motor Lublin	4	0	2	2	-3	-2.7	2
15	Cracovia	4	0	2	2	-3	+1.0	2
16	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	1	3	-3	+1.7	1
17	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-7	-2.4	1
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -26 Zaglebie – Rakow 0–0 14. Dec -25 Rakow – Zaglebie 0–1 31. Mar -25 Zaglebie – Rakow 0–2 22. Sep -24 Rakow – Zaglebie 5–1 4. May -24 Zaglebie – Rakow 2–0

Match report

Rakow Zaglebie

Karol Struski 🔁

↦ Vladyslav Kochergin

16′

Fran Tudor 🟨

25′

45′

🔁 Jakub·Sypek

↦ Kamil Nowogonski

Half-time 1–0

1–0 Marko Bulat ⚽

47′

Mahir Emreli ℹ️

VAR: Goal cancelled

58′

61′

🔁 Damian Michalski

↦ David Čolina

62′

🔁 Sebastian Kerk

↦ Igor Orlikowski

62′

🔁 Michalis Kosidis

↦ Filip Szymczak

70′

⚽ Michał Nalepa 1–1

Roman Yakuba

Adam Basse 🔁

↦ Karol Struski

78′

81′

🔁 Jakub Kolan

↦ Damian Dąbrowski

Fran Tudor 🟥

84′

87′

⚽ Marcel Regula 1–2

Marko Perović 🔁

↦ Jean Carlos

88′

Adin molnar 🔁

↦ Tomasz Pienko

88′

Marko Bulat 🟨

89′

90′

🟨 Filip Kocaba

Stratos Svarnas 🟨

91′

Tomasz Kaczmarek 🟨

92′

Marko Perović ℹ️

VAR: Penalty confirmed

93′

96′

🟨 Zlatan Alomerović

2–2 Patryk Makuch ⚽

96′

98′

🟨 Michał Nalepa

101′

🟨 Marcel Regula

103′

⚽ Damian Michalski 2–3

Roman Yakuba

Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Rakow

3-5-2

K. Trelowski G

F. Tudor D

B. Racovițan D

S. Svarnas D

T. Pieńko F

O. Repka M

V. Kochergin M

M. Bulat M

Jean Carlos M

M. Emreli F

P. Makuch M

Bench (12)

39 I. Brusberg

77 D. Debohi

71 T. Karić

44 B. Mirčetić

88 A. Molnar

22 A. Ojo

36 M. Perović

23 K. Struski

3 A. Brorsson

19 N. Zätterström

99 Adam Basse

17 J. Jendryka

Coach: T. Kaczmarek

Zaglebie

3-4-3

Z. Alomerović G

A. Ławniczak D

M. Nalepa D

R. Yakuba D

I. Orlikowski D

D. Dąbrowski M

F. Kocaba M

D. Čolina D

M. Reguła M

F. Szymczak F

K. Nowogoński M

Bench (12)

1 J. Burić

20 M. Dziewiatowski

37 S. Kerk

26 J. Kolan

9 M. Kosidis

77 P. Kosmalski

4 D. Michalski

88 M. Mlinarić

99 C. Popielec

7 J. Sypek

11 A. Woźniak

19 S. Łyczko

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

1,91

🔒

Betano 2,00 Pinnacle 1,96 Bet365 1,95 1xBet 1,91 William Hill 1,91 Betfair 1,90 Marathonbet 1,89 BetVictor 1,85 SBO 1,82

3,50

🔒

Betfair 3,70 Pinnacle 3,63 Bet365 3,60 Betano 3,50 BetVictor 3,50 1xBet 3,48 Marathonbet 3,48 SBO 3,38 William Hill 3,30

B ✓

3,70

🔒

Pinnacle 3,92 SBO 3,84 1xBet 3,72 Bet365 3,70 Betfair 3,70 BetVictor 3,70 Marathonbet 3,70 William Hill 3,70 Betano 3,50

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,25

🔒

U1,5

3,75

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,80

🔒

U2,5

1,98

🔒

O3,5 ✓

3,00

🔒

U3,5

1,36

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,68

🔒

BLS nei

2,05

🔒

Recent matches

11. Sep EK 1 week ago

6. Sep EK 2 weeks ago

3. Sep EK 2 weeks ago

30. Aug EK 3 weeks ago

27. Aug ECL 3 weeks ago

Referee

D Stefanski · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,1 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

25,9 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Rakow

Zaglebie

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee