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Premiership
Referee: David Dickinson
Aberdeen
S U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Hearts
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,66 xG 1,34
51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Feb -26 Hearts – Aberdeen 1–0 23. Nov -25 Aberdeen – Hearts 1–0 4. Aug -25 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–0 12. Jan -25 Aberdeen – Hearts 0–0 1. Dec -24 Hearts – Aberdeen 1–1

Match report

Aberdeen Hearts
Bradley Lyons 🟨
34′
35′
⚽ O. McEntee 0–1
41′
🟨 Jordi Altena
Half-time 0–1
60′
🔁 P. Kabore
↦ A. Ba-Sy
Aremu Afeez 🟨
71′
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ A. Aremu
73′
L. Smith 🔁
↦ T. Yogane
73′
A. Briedl 🔁
↦ C. Ronan
73′
A. Mouloua 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
73′
75′
🔁 J. McCart
↦ L. Mendy
75′
🔁 S. Guendouz
↦ S. Kerjota
80′
🔁 T. Magnusson
↦ B. Spittal
G. Molloy 🔁
↦ N. Guinness-Walker
83′
89′
🟨 Harry Milne
1–1 L. Mayo ⚽
K. Nisbet
90′
2–1 K. Nisbet ⚽
90′
93′
🟥 Stuart Findlay
Kevin Nisbet 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
27 M. Muller G
28 C. Cadden D
23 L. Mayo D
26 D. Happe D
24 N. Guinness-Walker D
8 B. Lyons M
32 A. Aremu M
20 T. Olusanya M
25 C. Ronan M
7 T. Yogane M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
1 D. Mitov
17 S. Armstrong
11 L. Smith
21 G. Molloy
10 A. Briedl
16 D. Lobban
9 A. Mouloua
22 J. Milne
53 A. Fasanya

Coach: Stephen Robinson

Hearts

4-2-2-2
1 B. Reus G
23 J. Altena D
6 O. McEntee D
17 S. Findlay D
18 H. Milne D
78 L. Mendy M
16 B. Spittal M
29 S. Kerjota M
7 C. Miller M
10 C. Braga F
77 A. Ba-Sy F
Bench (9)
28 Z. Clark
15 J. McPake
22 T. Magnusson
11 P. Kabore
5 J. McCart
89 A. Kyziridis
19 S. Guendouz
74 R. Mato
21 J. Wilson

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,00
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B
2,18
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
U2,5
2,05
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.