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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Vallecano

T U T S T

2–1

Full-time

Espanol

S T T U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 80%

100%

60%

Average goals

4,4

2,6

Scored

1,6

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,52 xG 1,49

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Vallecano 16. · Espanol 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	+9.6	15
2	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+10	+7.5	12
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+1	+0.3	12
4	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.7	10
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+4	-0.2	10
6	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+2	-0.6	10
7	La Coruna	5	2	3	0	+3	-1.6	9
8	Espanol	5	2	1	2	+3	-1.4	7
9	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+1	-1.1	7
10	Santander	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.0	7
11	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-3	+2.9	7
12	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.2	7
13	Levante	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
14	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-3	-3.2	5
15	Celta	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.6	4
16	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-6	-5.0	4
17	Malaga	5	0	3	2	-6	-3.3	3
18	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	+0.6	2
19	Elche	5	0	2	3	-7	-3.5	2
20	Valencia	5	0	1	4	-9	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+10	+5.9	9
2	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
3	Santander	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
5	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.1	6
6	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.3	6
7	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.5	5
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.4	4
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
10	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
12	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
13	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.4	4
14	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.7	4
15	Levante	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
16	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Celta	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.0	1
18	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.3	1
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.6	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+12	+3.8	9
2	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.8	6
3	Betis	3	2	0	1	-1	+0.4	6
4	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.7	5
5	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.8	4
6	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.1	3
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
8	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
9	Celta	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
10	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	-2	+2.5	3
11	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.4	3
12	Elche	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.2	2
13	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
14	Levante	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.7	2
15	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.6	1
16	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.1	1
17	Santander	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.1	0
18	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.0	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Vallecano	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Apr -26 Vallecano – Espanol 1–0 7. Dec -25 Espanol – Vallecano 1–0 4. Apr -25 Vallecano – Espanol 0–4 31. Aug -24 Espanol – Vallecano 2–1 21. May -23 Vallecano – Espanol 1–2

Match report

Vallecano Espanol

1–0 Álvaro García ⚽

3′

2–0 Adrià Pedrosa ⚽

Álvaro García

26′

45′

🔁 Marcos Fernández

↦ Roger Hinojo

45′

🔁 Bryan Zaragoza

↦ Rafel Bauzà

45′

🔁 Eduardo Expósito Jaén

↦ Gabriel Moscardo

Half-time 2–0

Unai López 🟨

47′

54′

⚽ Roberto Fernández Jaén 2–1

Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa

Óscar Valentín 🔁

↦ Mujaid Sadick

61′

Gnangoro Bouare 🔁

↦ Unai López

61′

63′

🟨 Marcos Fernández

Georgiy Tsitaishvili 🟨

67′

Pathé Ciss 🟨

70′

74′

🔁 Álex Calatrava Torrado

↦ Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa

Francisco Pérez Martínez 🔁

↦ Georgiy Tsitaishvili

76′

Alexandre Zurawski 🔁

↦ Sergio Camello

76′

Gnangoro Bouare 🟨

80′

84′

🔁 Pol Lozano

↦ Urko Gonzalez

Ivan Balliu 🔁

↦ Álvaro García

84′

Alexandre Zurawski 🟨

91′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-3-3

E. Audero G

A. Rațiu D

F. Lejeune D

Mujaid Sadick D

Adrià Pedrosa D

Pedro Díaz M

P. Ciss M

Unai López M

G. Tsitaishvili F

Sergio Camello F

Álvaro García F

Bench (12)

37 Rayane Belid

20 I. Balliu

36 G. Bouare

1 Dani Cárdenas

22 Pelayo Fernández

3 M. Kumbulla

30 Adrián Molina

21 Fran Pérez

31 M. Roman

23 Óscar Valentín

9 Alemão

26 Marco de las Sías

Coach: Beñat San José

Espanol

4-2-3-1

M. Dmitrović G

O. El Hilali D

C. Riedel D

L. Cabrera D

Roger Hinojo D

Gabriel Moscardo M

Urko González M

Rafel Bauzà M

Javier Hernandez M

Q. Hartman M

Roberto Fernández F

Bench (12)

24 T. Dolan

16 V. Drkušić

8 Edu Expósito

18 Marcos Fernández

1 Ángel Fortuño

10 Pol Lozano

32 J. A. Lopez

11 Pere Milla

14 Unai Núñez

31 Llorenç Serred

15 Bryan Zaragoza

22 Álex Calatrava

Coach: Manolo González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

2,30

🔒

1xBet 2,41 Pinnacle 2,38 Betano 2,35 Marathonbet 2,35 SBO 2,32 Bet365 2,30 Betfair 2,30 BetVictor 2,30 William Hill 2,30

3,37

🔒

BetVictor 3,50 1xBet 3,49 Betfair 3,40 Pinnacle 3,40 Marathonbet 3,40 Bet365 3,30 Betano 3,30 William Hill 3,25 SBO 3,11

3,03

🔒

Pinnacle 3,19 1xBet 3,18 Bet365 3,10 Betano 3,10 Betfair 3,10 Marathonbet 3,10 BetVictor 3,00 William Hill 3,00 SBO 2,86

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,29

🔒

U1,5

3,50

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,87

🔒

U2,5

1,87

🔒

O3,5

3,25

🔒

U3,5 ✓

1,33

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,69

🔒

BLS nei

2,05

🔒

Recent matches

12. Sep LL 1 week ago

5. Sep LL 2 weeks ago

31. Aug LL 2 weeks ago

20. Aug LL 1 month ago

15. Aug LL 1 month ago

Referee

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

26,2 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Vallecano

Espanol

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee