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NM-cupen

Referee: A Medic

Moss

S S

0–3

Full-time

Start

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Start

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

5,5

Scored

2,0

4,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 28. · Start 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+9	6
5	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Jerv	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Start	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Odd	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Skeid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Molde	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Ull/Kisa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
23	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
24	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+3	6
26	Eidsvold	2	2	0	0	+2	6
27	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
28	Moss	2	2	0	0	+2	6
29	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
30	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	1	0	+3	4
31	Gjøvik-Lyn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
32	Byåsen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
33	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+6	3
34	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+5	3
35	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+3	3
36	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Øygarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Brattvåg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Vidar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Brumunddal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	hodd	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Egersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Ullern	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Nardo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Kvik Halden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Alta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Frigg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Notodden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Flint	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Os	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Harstad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Træff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Mjølner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ørn Horten	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Vard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
67	Junkeren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
68	Fana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
69	Grorud	2	0	1	1	-1	1
70	Fram	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Asane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Senja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Ottestad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Sola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Herd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Bremnes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Halsen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Vardeneset	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Asker	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Kolbu / KK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Oppsal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Rana	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Hei	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Floro	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Vindbjart	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Dahle	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Eidsvold IF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
124	Voss	1	0	0	1	-7	0
125	Furnes	1	0	0	1	-7	0
126	Express	1	0	0	1	-7	0
127	Østsiden	1	0	0	1	-7	0
128	Ishavsbyen	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gjøvik-Lyn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Byåsen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Vidar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Brumunddal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Ullern	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Moss	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Flint	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Os	2	1	0	1	-4	3
15	Harstad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Træff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Junkeren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Fram	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Arendal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Levanger	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Vard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Frigg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Fana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Sola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Herd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Bremnes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Halsen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Vardeneset	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	hodd	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Kolbu / KK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Oppsal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Rana	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Hei	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Floro	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Vindbjart	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	Dahle	1	0	0	1	-7	0
78	Eidsvold IF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
79	Voss	1	0	0	1	-7	0
80	Furnes	1	0	0	1	-7	0
81	Express	1	0	0	1	-7	0
82	Østsiden	1	0	0	1	-7	0
83	Ishavsbyen	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+9	6
5	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Jerv	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Start	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Odd	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Skeid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Molde	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+3	6
23	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+3	6
24	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
25	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	1	0	+3	4
26	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+6	3
27	Flekkerøy	1	1	0	0	+6	3
28	hodd	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Øygarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Nardo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Moss	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Kvik Halden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Notodden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Frigg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Alta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Vard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Mjølner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Fana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Ørn Horten	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Grorud	2	0	1	1	-1	1
56	Asane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Senja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ottestad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Asker	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Start

J. Koko 🟨

36′

37′

⚽ C. Cresswell 0–1

Half-time 0–1

A. Potur 🔁

↦ M. Welinder

46′

M. Andresen 🔁

↦ S. Jabari

46′

🔁 V. Bergan

↦ V. Wormgoor

52′

⚽ K. Strande 1–1

own goal

53′

🟨 E. Schulze

60′

⚽ K. Tønnessen 1–2

K. Kalabatama 🔁

↦ N. Alexandersson

64′

🔁 J. Gregersen

↦ M. Grundetjern

64′

🔁 J. Tveita

↦ O. Fallenius

70′

🔁 E. Derviskadic

↦ B. Antonsson

K. Strande 🟨

71′

O. Kjeilen Stavdal 🔁

↦ J. Koko

73′

🔁 S. Svela

↦ E. Schulze

E. Owusu 🔁

↦ A. Ali

80′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Moss

M. Ranmark

K. Strande

S. Andersen

S. Jabari

A. Håpnes

S. Gray

M. Welinder

J. Koko

A. Ali

N. Alexandersson

Cláudio Braga

Bench (8)

A. Potur

M. Andresen

K. Kalabatama

O. Kjeilen Stavdal

E. Owusu

L. Getz

N. Lagesen

S. Martinsen-Wold

Coach: T. Myhre

Start

J. Torkildsen

V. Wormgoor

K. Tønnessen

L. Mares

Basilio Ndong

P. Reinhardsen

E. Schulze

B. Antonsson

M. Grundetjern

C. Cresswell

O. Fallenius

Bench (9)

V. Bergan

J. Gregersen

J. Tveita

E. Derviskadic

S. Svela

A. Frobenius

H. Gjesdal

M. Fabricius Jensen

S. Sjøkvist

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

22. Jun CUP 4 years ago

19. May CUP 4 years ago

Referee

A Medic · 77 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Moss

Start

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee