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Svenska Cupen

Malmo FF

S T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Varberg

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 36. · Varberg 34. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	IF Karlstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Falkenbergs FF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	IFK Skövde	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Oster	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Goteborg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
15	Varnamo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Orebro SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Orgryte	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	AIK	2	1	0	1	+5	3
20	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+5	3
21	Karlberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
22	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+3	3
23	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Lund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Zenith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Haninge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Sölvesborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	IK brage	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Syrianska FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Myresjö / Vetlanda	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
53	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Qviding FIF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Nässjö	2	1	0	1	-5	3
58	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	-5	3
59	Ostersunds FK	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
66	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	IFK Skövde	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
23	Oster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Goteborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
27	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
29	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Kubikenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	AIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sölvesborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Syrianska FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Qviding FIF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
60	Nässjö	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Falkenbergs FF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Orebro SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Orgryte	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	AIK	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+5	3
9	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Oster	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Lund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	IFK Skövde	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Nässjö	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Sölvesborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Haninge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Syrianska FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Qviding FIF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	IK brage	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-4	3
46	Ostersunds FK	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.