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Europa League
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Porto
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Malmo FF
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 45%
60%
29%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
40%
57%
Both score Ø 35%
40%
29%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,81 xG 0,81
59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
5 Corners 0
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Malmo FF
1–0 Samu ⚽
R. Mora
30′
2–0 Samu ⚽
B. Sainz
36′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🔁 O. Lewicki
↦ T. Lundbergh
S. Eustaquio 🔁
↦ R. Mora
57′
D. Gul 🔁
↦ Samu
57′
64′
🟨 Busanello
64′
🔁 E. Ekong
↦ S. Soumah
64′
🔁 E. Botheim
↦ S. Haksabanovic
William Gomes 🔁
↦ Pepê
70′
A. Costa 🔁
↦ M. Fernandes
70′
81′
🟨 Jens Stryger Larsen
A. Alarcon 🔁
↦ B. Sainz
82′
84′
🔁 J. Karlsson
↦ Busanello
84′
🔁 D. T. Gudjohnsen
↦ L. Johnsen
90′
⚽ F. Moura 3–0
own goal
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
52 M. Fernandes D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
74 F. Moura D
8 V. Froholdt M
13 P. Rosario M
86 R. Mora M
11 Pepê F
9 Samu F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
6 S. Eustaquio
7 William Gomes
12 Zaidu
20 A. Costa
21 D. Prpic
22 A. Varela
25 T. Perez
27 D. Gul
47 A. Alarcon
92 J. Teixeira

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Malmo FF

4-3-3
30 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rosler D
25 Busanello D
23 L. Johnsen M
40 K. Busuladzic M
48 T. Lundbergh M
37 A. Skogmar F
15 S. Soumah F
29 S. Haksabanovic F
Bench (12)
27 J. Dahlin
50 J. Persson
2 J. Karlsson
5 A. Djuric
6 O. Lewicki
7 O. Rosengren
10 A. Christiansen
11 E. Ekong
16 O. Berg
20 E. Botheim
21 S. Holmquist
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen

Coach: Endika Gavina

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.