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Svenska Cupen

Varnamo

S U T T T

2–2

Full-time

Orgryte

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

3,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varnamo 24. · Orgryte 33. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	IF Karlstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Falkenbergs FF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	IFK Skövde	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Oster	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Goteborg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Orebro SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+8	3
14	AIK	1	1	0	0	+7	3
15	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+6	3
16	Karlberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
17	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Lund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Zenith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Haninge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Sölvesborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	IK brage	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Syrianska FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Myresjö / Vetlanda	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Qviding FIF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Nässjö	2	1	0	1	-5	3
58	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	-5	3
59	Ostersunds FK	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
66	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	IFK Skövde	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
19	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
20	Oster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Goteborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
25	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Kubikenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Sölvesborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Syrianska FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Qviding FIF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
55	Nässjö	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Falkenbergs FF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Orebro SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	AIK	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Oster	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Lund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	IFK Skövde	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Nässjö	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Sölvesborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Haninge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Syrianska FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Qviding FIF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	IK brage	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-4	3
46	Ostersunds FK	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.