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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Malmo FF

T S S T S

3–0

Full-time

Varberg

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 40%

46%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 32%

31%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

27 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 1

4 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 5. · Varberg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	12	7	4	1	+8	25
2	Djurgarden	13	7	3	3	+16	24
3	AIK	13	7	3	3	+3	24
4	Hammarby	12	6	3	3	+10	21
5	Malmo FF	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Kalmar	12	6	2	4	+5	20
7	Goteborg	12	6	2	4	+4	20
8	Elfsborg	12	5	4	3	+11	19
9	Mjallby	12	5	4	3	+2	19
10	Sirius	12	5	2	5	-5	17
11	Norrkoping	12	4	3	5	+1	15
12	Varberg	12	4	2	6	-8	14
13	Varnamo	12	3	3	6	-5	12
14	Sundsvall	12	3	0	9	-17	9
15	Degerfors	12	2	1	9	-17	7
16	Helsingborg	13	1	3	9	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	AIK	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Elfsborg	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Malmo FF	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Hacken	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Hammarby	6	3	3	0	+6	12
7	Mjallby	6	3	3	0	+5	12
8	Kalmar	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Goteborg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Varberg	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Sirius	5	3	0	2	+0	9
12	Sundsvall	7	3	0	4	-6	9
13	Norrkoping	6	2	2	2	+4	8
14	Varnamo	5	2	2	1	+2	8
15	Helsingborg	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Degerfors	6	1	1	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	6	3	3	0	+3	12
2	Hammarby	6	3	0	3	+4	9
3	Goteborg	6	3	0	3	+0	9
4	Kalmar	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	AIK	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	Malmo FF	7	2	2	3	-4	8
7	Sirius	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Norrkoping	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Elfsborg	6	1	3	2	+3	6
11	Djurgarden	6	1	2	3	+0	5
12	Varnamo	7	1	1	5	-7	4
13	Varberg	6	1	1	4	-9	4
14	Degerfors	6	1	0	5	-8	3
15	Helsingborg	6	0	1	5	-5	1
16	Sundsvall	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.