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Svenska Cupen
Referee: F Klitte
Kalmar
S T U T S
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Trelleborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kalmar 27. · Trelleborg 26.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Helsingborg 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +11 6
3 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Sirius 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Varberg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Degerfors 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 GAIS 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Trollhättan 3 2 0 1 +2 6
11 Oskarshamns AIK 3 2 0 1 +0 6
12 IFK Luleå 3 2 0 1 +0 6
13 Onsala 3 2 0 1 -2 6
14 AIK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Vasteras SK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Västra Frölunda 2 1 0 1 +5 3
17 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 +4 3
18 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 Sundsvall 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Goteborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Brommapojkarna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Trelleborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Kalmar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 IK brage 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Norrkoping 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Österlen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Vasalund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Norrby IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Orebro SK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Lund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Skövde AIK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Ostersunds FK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Ljungskile SK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Torns 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Enköping 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Brålanda 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Haninge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Täby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Sleipner 2 0 1 1 -2 1
62 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Oster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar Trelleborg
1–0 J. Karlsson
34′
41′
M. Saeid 1–1
2–1 S. Skrabb
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 T. Karlsson
↦ M. Andersson
3–1 M. Rajovic
59′
62′
🔁 L. Olausson
↦ O. Salama
R. Gojani 🔁
↦ A. Lindahl
67′
67′
🔁 H. Brkić
↦ N. Mortensen
K. Jensen 🔁
↦ S. Skrabb
79′
79′
M. Saeid 3–2
L. Saetra 🟨
89′
I. Bjerkebo 🔁
↦ N. Girmai Netabay
90′
93′
🟨 M. Viitikko
93′
🟨 H. Brkic
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kalmar

Ricardo Friedrich
L. Sætra
R. Sjöstedt
D. Ólafsson
A. Lindahl
Romário
N. Girmai Netabay
C. Gustafsson
J. Karlsson
S. Skrabb
M. Rajovic
Bench (7)
R. Gojani
K. Jensen
I. Bjerkebo
E. Olsson
J. Kindberg
N. Shamoun
S. Ylätupa

Coach: H. Jensen

Trelleborg

K. Kristensen
M. Viitikko
M. Andersson
B. Böðvarsson
F. Hörberg
M. Saeid
Mouhammed-Ali Dhaini
L. Wettergren
N. Mortensen
F. Bohman
O. Salama
Bench (7)
T. Karlsson
L. Olausson
H. Brkić
A. Larsen
J. Käck
L. Rosvall
T. Wassholm

Coach: P. Ljung

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.