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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Fredericia

U S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Vejle

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Vejle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,7

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,74 xG 1,84

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredericia 7. · Vejle 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	2	1	+9	+4.5	17
2	FC Copenhagen	8	5	1	2	+9	+4.7	16
3	Midtjylland	8	4	3	1	+9	-0.1	15
4	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+2	+3.8	15
5	Nordsjaelland	8	4	0	4	-2	+0.2	12
6	Sonderjyske	8	3	1	4	-2	-5.4	10
7	Fredericia	7	3	1	3	-2	-4.6	10
8	Randers FC	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.9	10
9	Viborg	8	3	0	5	-2	-0.8	9
10	Silkeborg	8	3	0	5	-6	+0.5	9
11	Odense	8	2	2	4	-7	+3.9	8
12	Vejle	7	1	1	5	-3	-5.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	+1.7	9
2	Midtjylland	4	2	2	0	+6	+2.3	8
3	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+3	+6.7	7
4	Sonderjyske	4	2	1	1	+2	-3.7	7
5	Silkeborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.0	6
6	Fredericia	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.9	6
7	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.4	6
8	Odense	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.5	6
9	Vejle	4	1	1	2	+1	-2.5	4
10	FC Copenhagen	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
11	Viborg	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.0	3
12	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+8	+2.8	12
2	Aarhus	4	3	1	0	+6	-2.2	10
3	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.4	7
4	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.6	7
5	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.1	6
6	Viborg	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.2	6
7	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.3	6
8	Fredericia	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.8	4
9	Sonderjyske	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
10	Silkeborg	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.5	3
11	Odense	4	0	2	2	-5	+1.4	2
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.