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DBU Pokalen
Referee: Michael Tykgaard
Mejrup
S
0–4
Full-time
Thisted FC
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mejrup Thisted FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mejrup 41. · Thisted FC 26. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odense 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 B 93 1 1 0 0 +10 3
3 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 FC Nakskov 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 FC Horsens 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Sundby 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Holbæk B&I 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Skanderborg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Oksbøl 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Odder 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 HIK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 GVI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Raklev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Farsø/Ullits 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Marstal / Rise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Bramming 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Tune 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Mejrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 BSI 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Lyngby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 B 1909 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
47 LSF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
85 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
86 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
87 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
88 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
91 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
92 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
93 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mejrup Thisted FC
28′
⚽ A. Hoyer 0–1
38′
🟨 M. Andersen
44′
⚽ J. Beluli 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ E. Lagergaard
46′
🔁 C. Jorgensen
↦ E. Kjer
M. Danielsen 🟨
49′
L. Bennick 🔁
↦ L. Jensen
51′
M. J. Vang 🔁
↦ C. Thysen
51′
M. Ronn 🟨
61′
M. V. Nielsen 🟨
63′
70′
🔁 J. Foe Nuphaus
↦ V. Engstrom
70′
🔁 K. Gronkjaer
↦ J. Dalgaard
L. Kudsk 🔁
↦ M. Ronn
72′
M. Funder 🔁
↦ M. Danielsen
72′
72′
⚽ J. Beluli 0–3
M. Borbjerggaard 🔁
↦ M. Hald
84′
88′
⚽ L. Agesen 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Mejrup

1 M. Toustrup
2 M. Bennedsgaard
4 M. V. Nielsen
5 M. Danielsen
6 J. Toustrup
7 M. Hald
8 C. Thysen
9 A. Kiilerich
10 L. N. Jensen
12 L. Jensen
14 M. Ronn
Bench (9)
3 L. Kudsk
11 L. Bennick
13 M. Funder
15 M. Borbjerggaard
16 M. S. Danielsen
33 J. Elm
43 J. Hansen
44 M. J. Vang
45 H. Jendi

Thisted FC

2 N. H. Larsen
8 A. Hoyer
15 S. Stricker
17 E. Kjer
19 J. Beluli
22 V. Engstrom
23 A. Bust
24 E. Lagergaard
26 M. Overgaard
27 L. Agesen
33 J. Dalgaard
Bench (6)
1 A. Raahauge
3 M. Lauritsen
9 M. Andersen
20 C. Jorgensen
21 J. Foe Nuphaus
25 K. Gronkjaer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.