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Superligaen

Referee: M Tykgaard

Brondby

U S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Aalborg

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

63%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,53 xG 1,23

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 8

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 7. · Aalborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	16	8	6	2	+11	+9.5	30
2	Midtjylland	16	9	3	4	+6	+3.3	30
3	Aarhus	16	7	6	3	+13	+2.9	27
4	Randers FC	16	7	6	3	+11	+8.1	27
5	Nordsjaelland	16	7	5	4	+3	+4.9	26
6	Silkeborg	16	6	7	3	+6	-0.4	25
7	Brondby	16	6	6	4	+8	+6.6	24
8	Viborg	16	5	6	5	+3	-1.0	21
9	Aalborg	16	4	5	7	-12	-10.9	17
10	Sonderjyske	16	3	4	9	-18	-10.2	13
11	Lyngby	16	1	7	8	-10	-2.8	10
12	Vejle	16	1	3	12	-21	-10.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	8	7	0	1	+7	+4.2	21
2	Aarhus	9	5	4	0	+12	+3.3	19
3	Nordsjaelland	9	5	4	0	+9	+5.0	19
4	FC Copenhagen	8	5	3	0	+8	+6.4	18
5	Silkeborg	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.1	15
6	Randers FC	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.0	14
7	Viborg	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.7	14
8	Brondby	7	3	3	1	+4	+3.0	12
9	Aalborg	8	3	2	3	-5	-4.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-6	-5.0	9
11	Lyngby	8	1	4	3	-4	+0.4	7
12	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	8	3	4	1	+5	+2.1	13
2	Brondby	9	3	3	3	+4	+3.6	12
3	FC Copenhagen	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.1	12
4	Silkeborg	8	2	4	2	+2	-0.5	10
5	Midtjylland	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.9	9
6	Aarhus	7	2	2	3	+1	-0.4	8
7	Viborg	9	1	4	4	-1	-0.3	7
8	Nordsjaelland	7	2	1	4	-6	-0.0	7
9	Aalborg	8	1	3	4	-7	-6.4	6
10	Sonderjyske	8	1	1	6	-12	-5.2	4
11	Lyngby	8	0	3	5	-6	-3.1	3
12	Vejle	8	0	1	7	-13	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.