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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Gustavo Correia

Gil Vicente

T S T T T

1–4

Full-time

Arouca

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Arouca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gil Vicente 43. · Arouca 47. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vilaverdense	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Pêro Pinheiro	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	São João Ver	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Beira-Mar	3	3	0	0	+10	9
5	Dumiense	3	3	0	0	+9	9
6	Valadares Gaia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Sanjoanense	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Varzim	3	3	0	0	+3	9
9	Camacha	3	2	1	0	+7	7
10	Oliveira Hospital	4	2	1	1	-5	7
11	FC Serpa	3	2	0	1	+8	6
12	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+8	6
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Academico Viseu	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+5	6
16	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
17	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Montalegre	3	2	0	1	+4	6
20	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Felgueiras 1932	3	2	0	1	+3	6
23	Sertanense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
24	Mafra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	Rabo Peixe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
27	Canelas 2010	3	2	0	1	+2	6
28	Pevidem	2	2	0	0	+2	6
29	Bragança	3	2	0	1	+1	6
30	Tirsense	3	2	0	1	-1	6
31	Caldas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Penafiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
35	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
36	Machico	2	1	1	0	+1	4
37	Oriental Lisboa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
38	Pombal	3	1	1	1	-2	4
39	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
40	Porto	1	1	0	0	+6	3
41	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
42	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
43	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
44	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
45	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
46	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	CF Os Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+1	3
50	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
52	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
55	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Real	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
68	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
70	Imortal Albufeira	2	1	0	1	-2	3
71	Courense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
72	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
73	Anadia	2	1	0	1	-5	3
74	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	AR São Martinho	2	0	1	1	-2	1
82	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Sp Lisbon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
124	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
125	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
126	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
127	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
128	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
129	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
130	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
131	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
132	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
133	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
134	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
135	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
136	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
137	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
138	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
139	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
140	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
141	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
142	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
143	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
144	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
145	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
146	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
147	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
148	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
149	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
150	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
151	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
152	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vilaverdense	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Pêro Pinheiro	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Valadares Gaia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Varzim	3	3	0	0	+3	9
5	Oliveira Hospital	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Vitoria Setubal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Bragança	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Caldas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Machico	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
16	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
17	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Felgueiras 1932	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Canelas 2010	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	AR São Martinho	2	0	1	1	-2	1
47	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vianense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Montalegre	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Anadia	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Courense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
84	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Pevidem	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
12	Porto	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Real	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Sertanense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	CF Os Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Sp Lisbon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
102	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
103	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
104	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-7	0
105	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.