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Championship
Referee: J Bell
Cardiff
T T S T S
2–3
Full-time
Hull
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Championship · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
32%
58%
Both score Ø 43%
32%
53%
Average goals
1,9
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 13. · Hull 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 20 10 8 2 +14 38
2 Blackburn 20 12 0 8 +5 36
3 Sheffield United 19 10 5 4 +16 35
4 Norwich 20 9 5 6 +7 32
5 QPR 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Preston 20 8 7 5 +0 31
7 Watford 19 8 5 6 +4 29
8 Swansea 19 8 5 6 -1 29
9 Luton 18 7 7 4 +3 28
10 Millwall 19 8 4 7 +2 28
11 Birmingham 19 7 6 6 +4 27
12 Reading 19 8 2 9 -6 26
13 Cardiff 19 7 3 9 -6 24
14 Sunderland 18 6 5 7 +2 23
15 Bristol City 20 6 5 9 -2 23
16 Rotherham 19 5 7 7 -2 22
17 Blackpool 19 6 4 9 -5 22
18 Stoke 19 6 4 9 -5 22
19 Middlesbrough 18 5 6 7 +0 21
20 Hull 19 6 3 10 -14 21
21 West Brom 19 4 8 7 -2 20
22 Coventry 16 5 5 6 -2 20
23 Wigan 19 5 5 9 -9 20
24 Huddersfield 18 4 3 11 -8 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Hull
4′
D. Pelkas 0–1
J. Greaves
Half-time 1–1
1–1 C. Robinson
J. Ralls
47′
M. Harris 🔁
↦ R. Sawyers
57′
G. Whyte 🔁
↦ N. Nkounkou
58′
61′
🔁 O. Tufan
↦ R. Woods
2–1 G. Whyte
C. Robinson
62′
73′
🔁 D. Sinik
↦ D. Pelkas
75′
R. Slater 2–2
D. Sinik
R. Colwill 🔁
↦ S. Ojo
76′
77′
R. Slater 2–3
R. Longman
84′
🔁 L. Coyle
↦ R. Longman
91′
🟨 Doğukan Sinik
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
1 R. Allsop G
2 M. Romeo D
38 P. Ng D
16 C. Nelson D
37 N. Nkounkou D
35 A. Rinomhota M
8 J. Ralls M
10 S. Ojo M
19 R. Sawyers M
11 C. O'Dowda M
47 C. Robinson F
Bench (7)
29 M. Harris
20 G. Whyte
27 R. Colwill
3 J. Bagan
9 K. Etete
12 T. Sang
21 J. Alnwick

Coach: M. Hudson

Hull

4-2-3-1
13 N. Baxter G
33 C. Christie D
6 Tobias Figueiredo D
5 A. Jones D
4 J. Greaves D
15 R. Woods M
24 J. Seri M
8 G. Docherty M
20 D. Pelkas M
27 R. Slater M
16 R. Longman F
Bench (7)
7 O. Tufan
11 D. Sinik
2 L. Coyle
17 S. McLoughlin
21 B. Fleming
22 T. Smith
1 M. Ingram

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,31
B ✓
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Bell · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.