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Serie A
Referee: L Pairetto
Napoli
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Empoli
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
85%
23%
Points per game
2,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
69%
31%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,1
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
18 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Napoli 1. · Empoli 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 13 11 2 0 +22 35
2 Milan 13 9 2 2 +13 29
3 Lazio 13 8 3 2 +17 27
4 Atalanta 13 8 3 2 +9 27
5 Juventus 13 7 4 2 +13 25
6 Roma 13 8 1 4 +4 25
7 Inter 13 8 0 5 +6 24
8 Udinese 13 6 5 2 +8 23
9 Salernitana 13 4 5 4 -1 17
10 Torino 13 5 2 6 -3 17
11 Fiorentina 13 4 4 5 -2 16
12 Bologna 13 4 4 5 -3 16
13 Sassuolo 13 4 3 6 -4 15
14 Empoli 13 3 5 5 -7 14
15 Monza 13 4 1 8 -8 13
16 Lecce 13 1 6 6 -6 9
17 Spezia 13 2 3 8 -13 9
18 Cremonese 13 0 6 7 -13 6
19 Sampdoria 13 1 3 9 -17 6
20 Verona 13 1 2 10 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Empoli
15′
🟨 Filippo Bandinelli
22′
🟨 Martín Satriano
39′
🟨 Sebastiano Luperto
Half-time 0–0
Leo Østigård 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 S. Lammers
↦ M. Satriano
59′
🔁 J. Akpa Akpro
↦ N. Haas
61′
🟨 Fabiano Parisi
H. Lozano 🔁
↦ G. Raspadori
64′
P. Zieliński 🔁
↦ T. Ndombélé
64′
E. Elmas 🔁
↦ M. Politano
64′
1–0 H. Lozano
69′
73′
🔁 L. Henderson
↦ T. Baldanzi
73′
🔁 A. Grassi
↦ F. Bandinelli
74′
🟨 Sebastiano Luperto
74′
🟥 Sebastiano Luperto
85′
🔁 E. Ekong
↦ R. Marin
2–0 P. Zieliński
H. Lozano
88′
89′
🟨 Liam Henderson
D. Demme 🔁
↦ S. Lobotka
90′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
55 L. Østigård D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
6 Mário Rui D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
91 T. Ndombélé M
21 M. Politano F
9 V. Osimhen F
81 G. Raspadori F
Bench (13)
11 H. Lozano
20 P. Zieliński
7 E. Elmas
4 D. Demme
18 G. Simeone
5 Juan Jesus
31 K. Zedadka
70 G. Gaetano
17 M. Olivera
16 H. Idasiak
12 D. Marfella
23 A. Zerbin
59 A. Zanoli

Coach: L. Spalletti

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
32 N. Haas M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
35 T. Baldanzi M
9 M. Satriano
10 N. Bajrami F
Bench (15)
7 S. Lammers
11 J. Akpa Akpro
8 L. Henderson
5 A. Grassi
17 E. Ekong
3 L. Cacace
38 G. Indragoli
14 M. Pjaca
28 N. Cambiaghi
1 S. Perisan
4 S. Walukiewicz
24 T. Ebuehi
21 J. Fazzini
20 D. Degli Innocenti
22 S. Ujkani

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,61
B
11,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,40
U2,5 ✓
2,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.