Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Napoli
Empoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +22 | 35 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +17 | 27 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |
Inter
|
13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |
Udinese
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 9 |
Salernitana
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |
Sassuolo
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 |
Monza
|
13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 18 |
Cremonese
|
13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 6 |
| 20 |
Verona
|
13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -15 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Meret
G
G. Di Lorenzo
D
L. Østigård
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
S. Lobotka
M
M. Politano
F
V. Osimhen
F
G. Raspadori
F
Coach: L. Spalletti
G. Vicario
G
A. Ismajli
D
S. Luperto
D
R. Marin
M
F. Bandinelli
M
T. Baldanzi
M
M. Satriano
Coach: P. Zanetti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Atalanta
Napoli
Liverpool
Napoli
Napoli
Sassuolo
Napoli
Rangers
Roma
Napoli
L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.