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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Wolfsburg

U S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Dortmund

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 47%

31%

62%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

62%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 20

8 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 9

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 11. · Dortmund 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	8	4	1	+29	28
2	Freiburg	13	8	3	2	+7	27
3	Union Berlin	13	8	2	3	+7	26
4	Dortmund	13	8	1	4	+8	25
5	Ein Frankfurt	13	7	2	4	+6	23
6	RB Leipzig	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	Werder Bremen	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+3	19
9	Hoffenheim	13	5	3	5	+3	18
10	Mainz	13	5	3	5	-4	18
11	Wolfsburg	13	4	5	4	+1	17
12	FC Koln	13	4	5	4	-5	17
13	Augsburg	13	4	2	7	-7	14
14	Leverkusen	13	3	3	7	-4	12
15	Hertha	13	2	5	6	-4	11
16	Stuttgart	13	2	5	6	-8	11
17	Bochum	13	2	1	10	-24	7
18	Schalke 04	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Dortmund	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Union Berlin	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	M'gladbach	7	5	0	2	+8	15
5	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+15	14
6	Freiburg	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	FC Koln	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Wolfsburg	6	2	3	1	+3	9
12	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	+4	8
13	Stuttgart	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Hertha	7	1	4	2	-1	7
15	Bochum	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Mainz	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Augsburg	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Schalke 04	6	1	1	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	4	2	1	+14	14
2	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Mainz	7	4	0	3	-3	12
5	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Union Berlin	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Augsburg	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Hoffenheim	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	RB Leipzig	7	1	3	3	-6	6
12	FC Koln	7	1	3	3	-8	6
13	Hertha	6	1	1	4	-3	4
14	M'gladbach	6	0	4	2	-5	4
15	Leverkusen	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Stuttgart	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Bochum	7	0	0	7	-18	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.