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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
Hannover
S T U S T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
47%
53%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 7
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 6. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 15 9 5 1 +11 32
2 Hamburg 15 10 1 4 +9 31
3 Heidenheim 15 7 6 2 +11 27
4 Paderborn 15 8 2 5 +16 26
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 8 2 5 +9 26
6 Hannover 15 7 3 5 +5 24
7 Kaiserslautern 15 5 8 2 +3 23
8 Holstein Kiel 15 6 5 4 +2 23
9 Regensburg 15 5 3 7 -9 18
10 Karlsruhe 15 5 2 8 -2 17
11 Braunschweig 15 4 5 6 -7 17
12 Hansa Rostock 15 5 2 8 -7 17
13 Magdeburg 15 5 2 8 -10 17
14 Greuther Furth 15 3 7 5 -5 16
15 Sandhausen 15 4 4 7 -5 16
16 St Pauli 15 3 6 6 -2 15
17 Nurnberg 15 4 3 8 -10 15
18 Bielefeld 15 3 2 10 -9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Fortuna Dusseldorf
23′
🟨 Tim Christopher Oberdorf
27′
🟨 Dawid Kownacki
1–0 H. Nielsen
J. Dehm
34′
2–0 C. Teuchert
H. Weydandt
43′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Jorrit Hendrix
64′
🔁 E. Iyoha
↦ R. Hennings
64′
🔁 K. Peterson
↦ D. Kownacki
65′
🟨 Michał Karbownik
M. Besuschkow 🔁
↦ E. Leopold
69′
M. Beier 🔁
↦ C. Teuchert
69′
L. Krajnc 🔁
↦ S. Muroya
79′
S. Ernst 🔁
↦ H. Weydandt
79′
Derrick Köhn 🟨
82′
84′
🔁 M. Mansfeld
↦ F. Klaus
85′
🔁 B. Böckle
↦ M. Karbownik
N. Tresoldi 🔁
↦ H. Nielsen
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
20 J. Dehm D
31 J. Börner D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
21 S. Muroya M
6 F. Kunze M
8 E. Leopold M
18 D. Köhn M
16 H. Nielsen F
9 H. Weydandt F
36 C. Teuchert F
Bench (9)
7 M. Besuschkow
14 M. Beier
32 L. Krajnc
10 S. Ernst
23 N. Tresoldi
11 L. Schaub
24 A. Fóti
37 S. Kerk
30 L. Weinkauf

Coach: S. Leitl

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
5 C. Klarer D
15 T. Oberdorf D
8 M. Karbownik D
29 J. Hendrix M
31 M. Sobottka M
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
9 D. Kownacki M
28 R. Hennings F
Bench (9)
19 E. Iyoha
7 K. Peterson
44 M. Mansfeld
22 B. Böckle
13 A. Bodzek
14 K. Baah
3 A. Hoffmann
46 Elione Neto
1 R. Wolf

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,64
U
3,31
B
2,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.