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Championship

Referee: J Linington

Watford

T S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Reading

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Reading

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Championship · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

53%

42%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Watford 8. · Reading 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	20	10	8	2	+14	38
2	Blackburn	20	12	0	8	+5	36
3	Sheffield United	20	10	5	5	+15	35
4	Norwich	20	9	5	6	+7	32
5	QPR	20	9	4	7	+4	31
6	Preston	20	8	7	5	+0	31
7	Swansea	20	8	6	6	-1	30
8	Watford	19	8	5	6	+4	29
9	Birmingham	20	7	7	6	+4	28
10	Millwall	19	8	4	7	+2	28
11	Luton	19	7	7	5	+1	28
12	Reading	19	8	2	9	-6	26
13	Rotherham	20	6	7	7	-1	25
14	Stoke	20	7	4	9	-3	25
15	Middlesbrough	19	6	6	7	+3	24
16	Cardiff	20	7	3	10	-7	24
17	Hull	20	7	3	10	-13	24
18	Sunderland	18	6	5	7	+2	23
19	Coventry	17	6	5	6	+0	23
20	Bristol City	20	6	5	9	-2	23
21	Blackpool	20	6	4	10	-8	22
22	West Brom	19	4	8	7	-2	20
23	Wigan	20	5	5	10	-11	20
24	Huddersfield	19	5	3	11	-7	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	10	8	0	2	+10	24
2	Burnley	10	6	4	0	+10	22
3	Millwall	10	7	1	2	+9	22
4	Reading	10	6	1	3	+4	19
5	Sheffield United	10	5	3	2	+11	18
6	Norwich	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	QPR	10	5	2	3	+5	17
8	Swansea	10	5	2	3	+2	17
9	Watford	9	5	1	3	+5	16
10	Rotherham	10	4	3	3	+5	15
11	Birmingham	10	3	5	2	+4	14
12	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	+3	14
13	Middlesbrough	10	3	5	2	+1	14
14	Cardiff	10	4	2	4	+0	14
15	Huddersfield	10	4	1	5	+0	13
16	Preston	10	3	4	3	-2	13
17	Hull	10	4	0	6	-8	12
18	Luton	9	2	5	2	+2	11
19	Stoke	10	3	2	5	-3	11
20	Coventry	7	3	1	3	+1	10
21	Sunderland	9	2	4	3	+0	10
22	West Brom	10	2	4	4	-2	10
23	Blackpool	10	3	1	6	-4	10
24	Wigan	10	1	3	6	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	10	5	3	2	+2	18
2	Sheffield United	10	5	2	3	+4	17
3	Luton	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Burnley	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Wigan	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Stoke	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Norwich	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Birmingham	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	QPR	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Sunderland	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Coventry	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Watford	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	Swansea	10	3	4	3	-3	13
14	Blackpool	10	3	3	4	-4	12
15	Hull	10	3	3	4	-5	12
16	Blackburn	10	4	0	6	-5	12
17	Middlesbrough	9	3	1	5	+2	10
18	West Brom	9	2	4	3	+0	10
19	Rotherham	10	2	4	4	-6	10
20	Cardiff	10	3	1	6	-7	10
21	Bristol City	10	2	3	5	-5	9
22	Reading	9	2	1	6	-10	7
23	Millwall	9	1	3	5	-7	6
24	Huddersfield	9	1	2	6	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.