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Puchar Polski

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Kalisz

S U S

3–3

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalisz Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

5,3

3,2

Scored

3,7

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,5

This season — Puchar Polski · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

5,3

2,0

Scored

3,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kalisz 3. · Gornik Zabrze 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogoń Siedlce	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Motor Lublin	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Kalisz	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Radunia Stężyca	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Wisla	2	1	1	0	+5	4
14	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
17	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Górnik Łęczna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Kalisz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wisla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.