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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
NAC Breda
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,5
Scored
4,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 29 4 1 +90 +69.8 91
2 Feyenoord 34 26 6 2 +66 +68.4 84
3 Twente 34 21 6 7 +33 +20.5 69
4 AZ Alkmaar 34 19 8 7 +31 +14.9 65
5 Ajax 34 15 11 8 +13 +11.7 56
6 Nijmegen 33 14 10 9 +17 -12.8 52
7 Utrecht 32 12 11 9 +2 -2.4 47
8 Sparta Rotterdam 33 13 7 13 +2 -8.1 46
9 Go Ahead Eagles 32 12 9 11 +2 -5.2 45
10 For Sittard 34 9 11 14 -19 +2.2 38
11 Heerenveen 34 10 7 17 -17 -6.2 37
12 Zwolle 34 9 9 16 -22 -19.7 36
13 Almere City 34 7 13 14 -26 -18.6 34
14 Heracles 34 9 6 19 -33 -26.1 33
15 Waalwijk 34 7 8 19 -18 -14.4 29
16 Excelsior 34 6 11 17 -23 -13.8 29
17 Vitesse 34 6 6 22 -44 -25.3 24
18 Volendam 34 4 7 23 -54 -34.8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda FC Emmen
30′
🟨 Desley Ubbink
1–0 S. Haugen
38′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 J. Konings
↦ D. Ubbink
60′
🔁 P. Brouwer
↦ B. van Hoeven
61′
🟨 Julius Dirksen
73′
🔁 M. Pouwels
↦ P. Parzyszek
80′
ℹ️ Vicente Besuijen
VAR: Penalty confirmed
M. Koscelník 🔁
↦ R. Kuijpers
82′
82′
V. Besuijen 1–1
M. Garbett 🔁
↦ F. Oldrup Jensen
83′
Jan Van den Bergh 🟨
84′
88′
🟨 Lucas Bernadou
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
36 P. van de Merbel G
2 B. Lucassen D
15 C. Martina D
5 J. Van den Bergh D
21 Manel Royo D
20 F. Oldrup Jensen M
6 C. Staring M
17 R. Kuijpers M
22 A. Omgba M
39 D. Janošek M
9 S. Haugen F
Bench (11)
3 M. Koscelník
7 M. Garbett
37 A. van Lare
1 R. Kortsmit
19 T. Boere
27 T. Marijnissen
10 E. Ómarsson
23 R. Besselink
25 C. Valerius
31 V. Wernersson
35 B. van Schuppen

Coach: J. van Gastel

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Oelschlägel G
4 M. te Wierik D
14 D. Vos D
24 J. Dirksen D
3 J. Hardeveld D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
8 L. Bernadou M
17 B. van Hoeven M
7 V. Besuijen M
10 D. Ubbink M
9 P. Parzyszek F
Bench (10)
29 J. Konings
21 P. Brouwer
28 M. Pouwels
19 B. Scholte
34 G. Bolk
22 J. Hoekstra
13 M. Heylen
23 F. Hammouti
15 J. Hekkert
16 K. van Dorp

Coach: A. Arts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.