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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Almere City
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
For Sittard
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 24%
13%
34%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 39%
34%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,89 xG 0,88
52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almere City 18. · For Sittard 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Ajax 32 23 5 4 +33 +32.7 74
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 23 4 5 +59 +44.8 73
3 Feyenoord 32 19 8 5 +38 +23.6 65
4 Utrecht 32 18 8 6 +17 +3.8 62
5 Twente 30 14 9 7 +15 +13.0 51
6 Go Ahead Eagles 32 13 9 10 +3 +7.0 48
7 AZ Alkmaar 30 13 8 9 +11 +14.7 47
8 Heerenveen 31 11 7 13 -8 -1.4 40
9 For Sittard 32 11 6 15 -17 -8.1 39
10 Sparta Rotterdam 32 9 11 12 -2 +0.0 38
11 Groningen 32 10 8 14 -11 -9.1 38
12 Heracles 32 9 11 12 -17 -15.2 38
13 Nijmegen 31 10 7 14 +3 +0.8 37
14 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -11 -19.8 35
15 NAC Breda 32 8 8 16 -21 -17.5 32
16 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -21 -30.4 25
17 Waalwijk 32 5 7 20 -30 -22.1 22
18 Almere City 32 4 8 20 -41 -16.5 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almere City For Sittard
1–0 J. Kadile
V. Zagaritis
14′
Half-time 1–0
Thom Haye 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 K. Sierhuis
↦ E. Bullaude
59′
🔁 Ivo Pinto
↦ M. Dijks
60′
🔁 K. Peterson
↦ L. Rosier
T. Receveur 🔁
↦ A. Tahiri
64′
66′
🟨 Rodrigo Guth
67′
🔁 É. Michut
↦ J. Mitrović
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ J. Kadile
75′
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ M. Martins
75′
79′
B. Radulović 1–1
Ivo Pinto
R. Providence 🔁
↦ Ali Jasim
85′
B. Guillaume 🔁
↦ T. Robinet
85′
86′
🔁 D. Grujčić
↦ J. Dahlhaus
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Almere City

4-2-3-1
1 N. Bakker G
27 M. Martins D
4 Visus D
15 J. Lawrence D
14 V. Zagaritis D
19 T. Haye M
8 A. Tahiri M
11 J. Kadile M
9 T. Robinet M
12 Ali Jasim M
18 C. Brym F
Bench (12)
28 T. Receveur
17 K. Hansen
2 D. Dankerlui
7 R. Providence
21 B. Guillaume
23 Álex Balboa
3 J. Jacobs
16 A. Nalić
31 J. van der Wilt
29 J. Wendlinger
22 T. Barbet
39 E. Poku

Coach: J. Rijsdijk

For Sittard

3-4-2-1
31 M. Branderhorst G
6 S. van Ottele D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
35 M. Dijks D
28 J. Mitrović M
32 L. Rosier M
80 R. Fosso M
8 J. Dahlhaus M
77 L. Tunjić F
33 E. Bullaude F
19 B. Radulović F
Bench (10)
9 K. Sierhuis
12 Ivo Pinto
7 K. Peterson
20 É. Michut
5 D. Grujčić
1 L. Koopmans
36 O. Johnson
38 T. Schenkhuizen
25 N. Martens
30 A. Bah

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,50
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.