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2. Bundesliga
Referee: N Winter
Nurnberg
T T S T T
3–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
5,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Schalke 04 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Greuther Furth 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Kaiserslautern 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Regensburg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Magdeburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Elversberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Ulm 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Schalke 04
40′
🟨 Ron Schallenberg
Jens Castrop 🟨
42′
Caspar Jander 🟨
43′
45′
I. Cissé 0–1
T. Mohr
Half-time 0–1
E. Valentini 🔁
↦ Danilo Soares
46′
D. Forkel 🔁
↦ K. Okunuki
46′
46′
🔁 M. Aydın
↦ E. Højlund
1–1 L. Schleimer
E. Valentini
47′
48′
🟨 Ron Schallenberg
48′
🟥 Ron Schallenberg
54′
🟨 Kenan Karaman
2–1 C. Jander
F. Pick
56′
Caspar Jander 🟨
66′
Caspar Jander 🟥
66′
66′
🔁 A. Donkor
↦ T. Mohr
O. Karafiát 🔁
↦ J. Castrop
67′
R. Lubach 🔁
↦ F. Pick
76′
3–1 R. Lubach
76′
T. Janisch 🔁
↦ L. Schleimer
87′
92′
🟨 Janik Bachmann
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-1-4-1
1 J. Reichert G
43 J. Hofmann D
4 F. Jeltsch D
31 R. Knoche D
3 Danilo Soares D
6 F. Flick M
11 K. Okunuki M
17 J. Castrop M
20 C. Jander M
7 F. Pick M
36 L. Schleimer F
Bench (9)
22 E. Valentini
34 D. Forkel
44 O. Karafiát
18 R. Lubach
32 T. Janisch
33 N. Seidel
9 S. Tzimas
19 M. Ševčík
26 C. Mathenia

Coach: M. Klose

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
28 J. Heekeren G
17 A. Gantenbein D
22 I. Cissé D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
6 R. Schallenberg M
14 J. Bachmann M
9 M. Sylla M
19 K. Karaman M
29 T. Mohr M
15 E. Højlund F
Bench (9)
23 M. Aydın
30 A. Donkor
1 R. Hoffmann
31 T. Bulut
2 F. Sánchez
21 M. Wasinski
40 S. Polter
37 M. Grüger
7 P. Seguin

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
3,62
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Winter · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.