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Eliteserien

Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner

Tromso

S T S T S

2–3

Full-time

Kristiansund

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,7

3,8

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,13 xG 3,04

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 11. · Kristiansund 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	+4	-2.9	6
2	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
3	Viking	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.7	6
4	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.8	6
5	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.9	6
6	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.4	4
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.1	4
8	Stromsgodset	3	1	0	2	+3	-0.8	3
9	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.8	3
10	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
11	Tromso	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.0	3
12	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
13	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.1	3
14	Bryne	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
15	Molde	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-6	-5.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.9	6
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.2	6
4	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
5	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
6	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
7	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
8	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
10	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
11	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.6	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
15	Molde	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.0	3
2	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Valerenga	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.5	1
6	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
7	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
8	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
9	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
10	Viking	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
11	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
12	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
13	Kristiansund	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.5	0
14	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
15	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0
16	Brann	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.